Only one round of home and away remains; seven out of the eight finalists are decided; and with draft penalties hanging over the victor’s head, the odds for a draw in the Melbourne-Carlton game on Sunday must be the shortest in footy’s history. So what can Crikey’s AFL Hot Form Chart still tell us about season 2007?

The answer is simple: a Moorabbin moral dilemma.

Saints supporters will be hopping on the black and white bandwagon on Friday night and cheering hard for the Magpies. It might leave a bad taste in the mouth, but it will be one worth swallowing should Collingwood triumph over Adelaide and hand the Saints one last shot at September.

Any other result will see the Crows (previously written off by this column) into the finals and St Kilda free to spend their weekends dissecting the form of the dish-lickers like the rest of the country.

With the minor premiership already safely in the Cats’ claws, the other notable variable is the exact make up of the top 4. According to Crikey’s Crystal Ball, Geelong will take on Hawthorn and the Eagles will host Port Adelaide, who are fast becoming masters of the last-gasp victory.

The elimination finals will see the Kangas battle the Saints and Collingwood resume hostilities with the Swans at the MCG.

And, after packing them in pretty tight at the MCG last weekend, Essendon bids its final farewell to Messrs Sheedy and Hird at Subiaco on Saturday. Expect jacket waving and dry eyes from the locals.

Form over

last 5 weeks

Team

Last week’s

form rating

AFL ladder

position

Sequence

1

Geelong

1

1

W-W-W-W-L

2

Port Adelaide

2

2

W-L-W-W-W

3

West Coast

3

3

W-L-W-W-W

4

Sydney

4

7

W-W-W-D-L

5

Collingwood

7

6

L-W-L-W-W

6

Hawthorn

10

4

L-W-W-L-W

7

Adelaide

11

8

L-W-L-W-W

8

Fremantle

8

11

L-W-W-L-W

9

St Kilda

6

9

W-D-L-W-L

10

Brisbane

5

10

W-W-L-D-L

11

Kangaroos

9

5

W-L-L-L-W

12

Essendon

12

12

W-L-L-W-L

13

Richmond

14

16

L-L-W-L-W

14

Melbourne

13

14

L-L-W-L-L

15

Bulldogs

15

13

L-D-L-L-L

16

Carlton

16

15

L-L-L-L-L

Columns indicate: Comparative form over the last 5 weeks; Position on form as of last week; Position on AFL ladder; Win/Loss sequence.
 

Crikey’s AFL Hot Form Tips for round 22 are:

  • Collingwood
  • St Kilda
  • West Coast
  • Geelong
  • Port Adelaide
  • Hawthorn
  • Kangaroos
  • Melbourne
Last week: 4
 
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