Joe Hockey, Tony Abbott: welcome to death row

If – if – today’s Newspoll result was repeated at the election, if the Coalition won 41 per cent of the polity-wide two-party preferred vote, they would suffer a uniform swing against them of 11.74 percentage points.

We did a death list on the Galaxy figures last week. This week’s is longer.

Not only are Malcolm Turnbull and Peter Costello goners on it, but Joe Hockey loses North Sydney, too – and Tony Abbott Warringah. Andrew Robb would also be done for.

Would the Liberal rump be so shattered that they’d elected that unequalled political prostitute Dr Brendan as their leader? Unlikely. Alexander Downer’s second coming fantasies could come true.

Here’s the casualty list:

Bass	Tasmania	Michael Ferguson
Bennelong	NSW	John Howard
Blair	Queensland	Cameron Thompson
Bonner	Queensland	Ross Vasta
Boothby	SA	Andrew Southcott
Bowman	Queensland	Andrew Laming
Braddon	Tasmania	Mark Baker
Calare	NSW	John Cobb (notionally National after the redistribution)
Canning	WA	Don Randall
Casey	Victoria	Tony Smith
Corangamite	Victoria	Stewart McArthur
Cowper	NSW	Luke Hartsuyker
Dawson	Queensland	De-Anne Kelly
Deakin	Victoria	Phil Barresi
Dickson	Queensland	Peter Dutton
Dobell	NSW	Ken Ticehurst
Dunkley	Victoria	Bruce Billson
Eden-Monaro	NSW	Gary Nairn
Fisher	Queensland	Peter Slipper
Flinders	Victoria	Greg Hunt
Flynn	Queensland	New notionally National seat
Forde	Queensland	Kay Elson
Forrest	WA	No seat for Nola Marino
Gilmore	NSW	Jo Gash
Gippsland	Victoria	Peter McGauran
Goldstein	Victoria	Andrew Robb
Greenway	NSW	Louise Markus
Hasluck	WA	Stuart Henry
Herbert	Queensland	Peter Lindsay
Higgins	Victoria	Peter Costello
Hinkler	Queensland	Paul Neville
Hughes	NSW	Dana Vale
Kalgoorlie	WA	Barry Haase
Kingston	SA	Kym Richardson
Kooyong	Victoria	Petro Georgiou
La Trobe	Victoria	Jason Wood
Leichhardt	Queensland	No seat for Charlie McKillop
Lindsay	NSW	No seat for Karen Chijoff
Longman	Queensland	Mal Brough
Macarthur	NSW	Pat Farmer
Makin	SA	No seat for Bob Day
McEwen	Victoria	Fran Bailey
McMillan	Victoria	Russell Broadbent
Menzies	Victoria	Kevin Andrews
Moore	WA	Mal Washer
Moreton	Queensland	Gary Hardgrave
North Sydney	NSW	Joe Hockey
Page	NSW	Ian Causley
Paterson	NSW	Bob Baldwin
Petrie	Queensland	Teresa Gambaro
Robertson	NSW	Jim Lloyd
Ryan	Queensland	Michael Johnson
Solomon	NT	Dave Tollner
Stirling	WA	Michael Keenan
Sturt	SA	Christopher Pyne
Wakefield	SA	David Fawcett
Warringah	NSW	Tony Abbott
Wentworth	NSW	Malcolm Turnbull