Labor leader Kevin Rudd will be elected next prime minister with a 6.8 per cent national swing against the Howard Government, a Ninemsn poll predicts.
In the largest poll of the 2007 election campaign, the Passion Pulse forecasts as many as 24 seats will swing Labor’s way on the back of a 53.4% two party preferred vote.
The Prime Minister will lose his seat to Maxine McKew while the result in his chosen successor Peter Costello’s electorate of Higgins will be too close to call.
The Passion Pulse is based on ninemsn’s online surveying of 86,763 people through the campaign and puts the following seats in play:
NSW
Hughes: Labor gain
Robertson: Too close to call
Cowper: Labor gain
Paterson: Labor gain
Page: Labor gain
Dobell: Too close to call
Bennelong: Labor gain
Eden-Monaro: Labor gain
Lindsay: Labor gain
Wentworth: Labor gain
Macquarie: Labor gain
Victoria
Higgins: Too close to call
Gippsland: Labor gain
McEwen: Too close to call
Corangamite: Labor gain
Deakin: Too close to call
Queensland
Hinkler: Labor gain
Flynn: Too close to call
Petrie: Labor gain
WA
Kalgoorlie: Too close to call
Stirling: Too close to call
Hasluck: Labor gain
SA
Sturt: Labor gain
Boothby: Labor gain
Makin: Labor gain
Wakefield: Labor gain
Kingston: Labor gain
Tasmania
Bass: Labor gain
Braddon: Labor gain
NT
Solomon: Too close to call
Forecasts for all seats and Cabinet members’ electorates are also available. The Passion Pulse poll suggests that Malcolm Turnbull, Peter McGauran and Mal Brough will be looking for new jobs along with their old boss.
This poll is not useful. The surveyees are self-selected and on-line, so there is bias there. Also, today’s survey page (are they all like this?) has headlines and quotes on the same page as the survey question. Impressive graphics though.