If the Liberal Party was hoping for Peter Costello to provide a guide to how to fix what ails it, the weekend’s extracts will have been alarmingly disappointing.
Some of us are inclined to the view that there’s not much wrong with the Liberal Party that an election win wouldn’t fix – especially compared to the ALP at state level, which in several states is diligently exploring new meanings of the term “incompetent”. But being out of power, until yesterday, in every state and territory has no doubt encouraged a lot of Liberals in the view that they shouldn’t just stand there but do something.
Perhaps all the really good stuff from Costello on Liberal philosophy and — just to pick an issue at random — the problem of developing a stronger membership base in an era of declining community involvement, didn’t make the weekend papers and Costello — whose role and status should make him ideally placed to critique his party — has plenty to say on the future of Australian conservatism.
Perhaps there’s more than his rather flat account (Gerard Henderson has done a better one) of the Liberal leadership mayhem during APEC, in which Costello quietly sits in his hotel room and writes a speech rather than doing anything about improving his chances of delivering it. Perhaps there’s more than his unremarkable insight that the Government was perceived as old and out-of-touch and that Howard had lost some good advisers.
Or perhaps it’s just more of the strange solipsism that marks the extracts.
Well, you might say, it’s a memoir, and by definition a tad on the solipsistic side. But I didn’t mean it like that.
Some examples. In yesterday’s extract, Costello discusses the election campaign. He talks about the party’s polling — that polling — and Howard’s inability to act on its central message. During the campaign, Costello tells us, Crosby-Textor produce more polling. Its message? “Peter Costello must play a greater role.”
Late in the final week, Costello goes to meet Howard after a business luncheon, and Howard tells him about the Lindsay leaflet scandal. Costello’s reaction to this appalling news, which has left the Prime Minister “crushed”?
“We walked down to the hotel together. I was happy with the luncheon, where there was strong support from the business community.”
It might just be the editing. But then he reflects on the eve of the election about his own role in the campaign, in which his team “had fought out the campaign and done well. The polls showed that the Coalition parties were judged the best able to manage the economy… I told the team: ‘It was a textbook campaign. Not a hitch. Not a loose word. No mistake, by us at least.'” In fact, so successful has Costello been that today’s extract declares “even [Kevin Rudd] could see that the model had worked. He did a complete turnaround. ‘I am,’ he said, ‘an economic conservative.'”
The only real problem, according to this analysis, lay with John Howard and those like Jackie Kelly who reflexively backed him.
Unfortunately, in reality, the problem wasn’t just John Howard. Peter Costello, the boy in the bubble, might have sailed along thinking everything was fine economically and he was on top of his game, but Workchoices and interest rate rises were wrecking the Coalition’s chances. A weird detachment and refusal to see this pervades what we’ve seen of the memoirs so far.
And this is from a man notorious for not engaging with his backbench, who refused to do the lowly work of cultivating supporters, whose means of protesting against his Prime Minister’s profligacy was to refuse to announce handouts, who reacted to a proposal to reduce the GST rate to 8% was to hope it went away.
Costello’s philosophy seems to be to ignore any reality that doesn’t fit with how he thinks things should be. We’re all guilty of that, of course, but in a politician, it tends to be fatal. Which, in Costello’s case, it was, at least to his own chances of obtaining his ambition.
It is very reinforcing to me that the APEC ructions are coming to light. My beady eye was on the trends and tone as usual and resolved to pack up the rainbow dove flag and cycle past the lockdown in the CBD. The result was a “brilliant collage’ of digital snaps according to some as my small contribution.
But what is most corroborating of both my judgement and also Howard cynicism in an ironic way is this: As I patroled the line between the prison buses, cops and festival of activism (caught by Daily Telegraph photo record on their web later that day) with flag as cape, it became clear there were only a handful of nasties in a crowd of 5-10K. What followed was hours of peacemaking – bribing a homeless guy with $5. Pandering to the ego of a nutter with pic posing with a reverend. Chatting to the nervey coppers that the sit in would leave any minute now …, any minute now … any minute now and finally did.
With all these things its the biffo that becomes the lead and it’s near impossible to prevent. And this was Howard’s pretty fair PR gamble. Well I remember patroling the tail end of the march as red raggers dawdled and whined about the cops cramping their style. Riot experience at Bondi came in real handy. I gave one of those soliliquys pretty sure ASIO have got it on tape along these lines – ‘Howard is on the skids, he could be gone by tomorrow. Don’t give him any help. It’s not the police we need to worry about. They are just pawns in Howard’s dirty game.’ Or something like that. One genius accused me of working for the police, after 6 activist arrests over the years. Derr. There should have been a riot according to cynical Howard as a balancer for the 300K rally in Feb 2003 to prove to GW et al the No War crew were ratbags.
But Gandhi won, Howard miscalculated. No riot, almost a leadership spill in the govt, certainly a lasting impression of Howard more concerned about his haughty profile than the worries of the people like climate and mad bad Iraq war.
I should have added credit to Benny Zable, street theatre master, for the rainbow dove peace flag. Thanks again Benny. You are a beautiful scruffy dude.