Well that was efficient. Liberal MPs went in at 9am, and it was barely 25 minutes later that Sky — presumably alerted by a text-happy MP — was declaring Turnbull the winner. There was a wait until the result was formally declared: 45-41 to Turnbull, with Julie Bishop re-elected unopposed as Deputy Leader. Journalists milled about, swarming over any MP emerging from the party room.
“A great result for the party,” declared Christopher Pyne, whose job, one suspects, hung on the result. Michael Ronaldson, numbers man for Turnbull, echoed the comment.
Going in, the tip had been that Turnbull, caught on the hop and given only a few hours to cement his support, would fall short. That was Nelson’s gameplan, and it was a reasonable one. The fact that Nelson lost shouldn’t obscure the fact that this was the smartest play available to him.
There was also talk that Nelson was planning a clean-out of his own office, particularly focussing on his chief of staff, Peter Hendy. Clearly, Nelson thought people other than himself were the problem. His party — narrowly — thought otherwise. The sympathy vote, the view that Nelson had not been given a fair crack, wasn’t strong enough against the reality that he needed to be removed for the Liberals to move forward.
At his press conference, attended by a large number of quite chipper Liberal MPs, an aggressive Turnbull indicated that there would be no immediate change in Coalition policy — including on the 5c a litre excise reduction proposal that was the basis for the first leadership flare up following the Budget. He did commit to the retention of the current – and, he claimed, Howard Government — emissions trading scheme policy. He emphasised his relatively poor background, and spoke about a “fair and free” society — they were, he claimed, inextricably linked – and one that would “empower and enable the enterprise of Australians.”
Nelson himself is off to the backbench, as part “generational renewal” he said in an impressive final press conference. He pledged full support for Turnbull and declared himself — not entirely convincingly — satisfied with the loyalty he had got from Turnbull and Bishop. Nelson was his normal relaxed self. Hand it to the guy – he can take a beating and still come up smiling.
It also turns out that not everyone was taken by surprise last night. Nelson admitted that he had spoken with Peter Costello last night before announcing the spill. That might have been Costello’s last chance to grab the leadership, for the time being at least.
Nelson said he thought the spill was the right thing to do, noting that there was going to be no focus on policy issues until the leadership was resolved, and the financial crisis made it more imperative than ever that that happen. He’s right. For now, at least, the Opposition has a good story to tell, unclouded by the incessant speculation that has constituted much of political coverage for the last two months. In ALP Caucus, Julia Gillard, filling in for an absent PM, declared that it didn’t matter who led the Liberal Party. Ah, but it will, Deputy Prime Minister, it will.
Congratulations – a decent Opposition at last. Let’s not forget the disaster that Nelson was: he should have expected 30s – not 20s – in his opinion ratings. Turnbull will do better.
But will it be enough?
I have to disagree that Nelson was “nice”. Anyone who was so cynically populist as Nelson is not a nice guy. Thankfully, he was also a very incompetent populist.
Turnbull is of an entirely different calibre. If you saw him on the 7.30 Report las night you saw a genuine personality talking not just an empty suit with a pile of talking points. He represents a real threat to Labor. Probably not at the next election (although he could run them very close but 2013 is a very real possibility if Labor is not successful at pushing through big, inspirational reforms.
Those who are fantasising that his wealth will make him unelectable are mistaken. Earned rather than inherited wealth is not unpopular and Turnbull retains a popular touch through simple things such as sometimes using public transport.
Yes it will Bernard Keane, it will, But only because this will energise Kevin Rudd who has had an easy run to date from the ever so nice but hopeless Nelson. At least we now have a match of the minds but I fear Malcolm does not have the tools of the trade of a politician-certainly from the recent interview he had with Kerry O’Brien on the ABC where poor Malcolm tied himself in knots even without O’Brien’s help. Turnbull-unless he has a dramatic personality change , is going to approach his tenure of Opposition Leader as a business enterprise and put off the great Aussie public who are wary of business “tycoons” at the best of times. I fear Turnbull will not be the one to lead the Liberals from the wilderness but it will be more interesting.
Turnbull did not get up before because he was Wrong
He still is
But there are precious few alternatives, the public can easily spot the wild eyed psychopaths like Abbot, Bishop
At least Turnbull won’t be waving no-name brand jam and canned peas around in parliament – he wouldn’t know where to go to buy them.