While Penny Wong this morning reaffirmed 2010 as the Government’s intended emissions trading start date, you get the feeling it will be the softest of starts, especially given the Garnaut recommendation of an initial fixed price for permits through to 2012, and possibly beyond in the event there is no international agreement.
Garnaut’s approach was that the ETS is the only game in town and obviated the need any other carbon abatement policy prescriptions. This looks a bit like the silver bullet approach favoured by climate change recalcitrants who hope the problem can be dealt with via a simple technological solution without anyone having to really do anything. But it is based on the solid premise that price signals are the least inefficient way of changing behaviour.
Similarly, the Productivity Commission and an independent government adviser have criticised non-ETS carbon abatement measures.
However, the Government has continued to back its Mandatory Renewable Energy Target, which Garnaut explicitly recommended be dumped. It is also making considerable noise about funding the development of coal industry-friendly carbon capture technologies.
When it comes to Feed-in Tariffs for renewable energy, however, the Federal Government seems to have a mental block, despite committing to a national approach before the election. FiTs — say, for rooftop solar photovoltaic systems — pay households for electricity fed back into the power grid. They provide a continuing source of funding rather than the one-off rebate currently available from the Federal Government for households on middle and lower incomes. The ACT, Queensland, SA and Victoria all now have different types of FiTs, and COAG is meant to be developing a uniform approach. However, the COAG October meeting came and went without any action, and a paper promised by Penny Wong in June never appeared.
And the Federal Government’s real view of FiTs was perhaps tipped by the Department of Climate Change’s submission to a Senate inquiry into a Greens bill to establish a national FiT approach, due to report in November. The Department’s submission devotes one page to explaining what a FiT is, half a page to saying they’re hideously expensive, and another half page to describing all the money the Government is investing in things other than FiTs.
Senate inquiries are second-order priorities for public servants. Half the time they’re political anyway, and the preparation of submissions is a distraction from real policy work. But the DCC’s effort on FiTs is particularly derisory.
The key issues for FiTs are whether they’re regressive, whether they should be based on net or gross metering, and whether they’re the most efficient use of funding that could be directed to other carbon abatement measures.
FiTs are regressive in principle, because they amount to a transfer from households without solar power or other renewable energy sources, to households that have them — which in practice means from lower-income and renter households to higher-income and owner-occupier households. The question is how regressive they are, because if the overall cost per kilowatt-hour is small — the ACF estimates the cost at 1% of power bills — the regressive impact is correspondingly limited.
The net v gross metering issue takes us into arcane territory but is essentially about whether households producing power should collect money for their gross or net electricity production, meaning they’d notionally get far less if their own usage was factored in, although the South Australian Government has pointed out that because metering is done second-to-second rather than on a daily basis, the difference is much less than you’d expected.
Is it the most efficient means of encouraging carbon abatement measures? Garnaut doesn’t explicitly reject feed-in tariffs, and favours gross metering, but at a low rate that will minimise cross-subsidies.
But in the absence of a fully-effective ETS and its price signals, the case for supplementary measures like a FiT becomes much stronger. The Government is keen on politically-convenient supplementary measures like investing in and encouraging carbon capture, despite it being a wholly unknown quantity when it comes to the role it can play in reducing emissions. But it inexplicably appears to have no interest in a mechanism to encourage the stronger take-up of an off-the-shelf renewable energy source.
There is an excellent paper from ANU submitted to the FiT Senate inquiry.
http://www.aph.gov.au/Senate/committee/eca_ctte/renewable_energy/submissions/sub123.pdf
The author makes very good arguments for a FiT (fixed price subsidy) and compares and contrast to the MRET (variable REC price subsidy). This is a similar comparison to ETS (fixed level of carbon, variable carbon price) vs Carbon Tax (fixed carbon price, variable level of carbon) arguments.
Two of the arguments he makes which stand out to me include:
1) A FIT reduces financial risk for people funding renewable energy projects because the subsidy is known and bankable (can borrow against an income over 20 years). The price of RECs (created by MRET) on the other hand can change week by week, so the funding carries more risk as the price of RECs can drop greatly by the time the project (e.g. windfarm) is built.
2) A diversified portfolio approach to renewable has advantages. MRET & ETS both strive for the lowest cost carbon abatement. An MRET will favour wind because it is currently the cheapest. But no one knows what will be the cheapest renewable energy in the long term.
e.g.
Solar Thermal (e.g. David Mills and Ausra) is currently undergoing rapid advances, as is Geothermal in Australia. Solar PV has been dropping in price by 20% every time the volume doubles. By 2020 it could well be the cheapest, at least when compared to the retail price of electricity.
It’s only when the volumes deployed greatly increase, can the learning curve do it’s magic and bring the prices greatly down across each technology.
In my view the author has written a long and compelling paper, and has some data about the effectiveness of Europe FiT vs their equivalent of MRET and is worth a read.
Great article with some gritty details I’ve come to expect from Crikey.
FiTs seem to be a way to do something, simply and at at house to house level- not to mention more jobs and income for savy investors and home owners. Basically anyone with a roof can make money once the rates are reasonable and set.
Below is a link to a plain english summary of the aclaimed German FIT system
Aprox 250,000 new jobs andsave 100m tons of CO2/year for $1.80 per household a month.
Pretty good I’d say!
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/reinsider/story?id=48310
Fits would be a great start, thanks for the good article.
The MRET is a great idea – don’t listen to the doubters.
FiTs are very inefficient in “bang for your buck” terms, but given the way Governments and, well, people work they are a good idea. They give Governments something to point to and say “we helped do that” and give people something to feel smug about.
In an ideal world of course the ETS would be very strong – which would come close to being a silver bullet if coupled with Energy Efficiency measures, etc.
WE ARE HEADED FOR THE WORST POSSIBLE OUTCOMES – THE IMPOSITION OF PUNITIVE CARBON TAXES TO DISCOURAGE ENERGY DERIVED FROM COAL (BY UNQUESTIONABLY ACCEPTING THAT CLIMATE CHANGE IS MAN-CAUSED, WHEN THERE IS NO SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE TO SUBSTANTIATE IT), TOGETHER WITH THE GOVERNMENT MANDATING CERTAIN TYPES OF NON-CARBON ENERGY PRODUCTION – governments have a very poor record of picking winners.
the German parliamentarian who authored their FiT was interviewed by our Senate committee on 16/10 looking at FiT.
some highlights.
FiT costs
Mr Fell—Yes. The cost in Germany is about 2 Euro per month for a typical household of four persons. The additional costs for the consumers are very low. On the whole, it costs about 2 Billion Euro more for all electricity consumers. This seems to be a lot but it is not, because on the other side we have a lot of benefits to reduce the money that the economy would have paid. We reduce the bill for incoming electricity imports—oil, natural gas, coal and uranium—by 6 Billion Euro. It is double the additional costs of the Feed-in tariff, so you see that we already have a benefit from these issues. Also, we avoid a lot of external costs from CO2 emissions certificates, environmental waste management costs and other costs that we must not pay from tax money. This amount is about 8 Billion Euro. So you see that we already have a lot of benefits and the additional costs of renewable energy for the electricity consumers are not really additional costs.
Emissions trading vs FiT
The second is that emission trading in Germany and Europe does not really work because the operators with the most CO2 emissions, like the conventional energy industry—the coal industry—and the big energy intensive industries, work to reduce the emission trading costs very much. They have already reached the point where the costs are so low that the emission reducing does not really happen. Last year we had in Germany a reduction of about nine million tonnes of CO2 in emissions from emission trading; from renewables we had a reduction of 120 million tonnes. But the additional costs of emission trading are priced at 10 Billion Euro. You see that the emission trading scheme produces not even a tenth of the reductions but has about three or four times the cost of the feed-in tariff.
from http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S11399.pdf