Recently the media has enjoyed reporting that residential real estate declined by some 3.3% in Sydney last year and further falls are predicted this year however not to the same magnitude as the US and UK.
We totally disagree, having witnessed buyers flood back into the market in volumes greater than 2007 when the market peaked. It is now standard for 40-50 groups of buyers to inspect properties listed for sale at or around $500 000.
Generation Y are often referred to as not having known anything but good times and are said to now be in for a rude awakening. Generation Y has actually seen the good times get better. Those who are gainfully employed, which is the vast majority, and who are used to paying high rents (if they have managed to leave home) are now finding the transition into property ownership very easy. If they have managed to save a 10% deposit coupled with the first home buyers grant and no stamp duty (under $500 000) they can actually buy a property and pay roughly the same for it as if they were renting. If the official cash rate gets down to the predicted 2% or lower we may find it is actually cheaper to own than to rent, that is of course if prices don’t rise.
Given this scenario and the volume of buyers entering the market prices are certain to show signs of growth.
And it’s not just generation Y buying, we have suddenly seen the investors re-enter the market — putting further pressure on supply and with each interest rates drop we’ll see an even bigger influx.
As owners are selling they are looking around for larger properties and this is creating a knock on effect. This may take 6-9 months to play out, but we do expect growth in all price ranges up to around $1,500,000 by the end of 2009. Already this year we are witnessing higher numbers of buyers in all prices ranges than we saw last year and have no reason to doubt that this will continue.
Contrary to popular belief the big banks are awash with cash and it appears the only people they are happy to lend it to are purchasers of residential property. The banks themselves can not afford to simply horde their cash, they need to lend it to continue to be profitable. The vast majority of buyers are not having difficulty in securing a loan.
We are extremely positive about the short term residential market and even more positive about the long term view. The various agents and developers I know around Sydney are all reporting exactly the same scenarios as I have highlighted above.
Michael Chatfield is Sales Manager for LJ Hooker Crows Nest
Well, he would say that, wouldn’t he!
I’m so glad to see this piece as I thought I was going nuts! In the period of a couple of weeks I know of two Sydney properties for sale in which there has been great interest (not because they are special). One suburban family home at Thornleigh sold after the first open house at a price greater that the vendors expected. The other, a deceased estate although not advertsied as such, in Denistone is going to auction but the crowds looking at it on open days and driving by at other times, are just amazing.
Since when did Crikey revert to talk up tactics for Real Estate sloths? I bet Michael Chatfield hopes this is the case so that he can go back to his fat, overpaid commission bonuses & sit on his fat, overpaid over-commissioned ass in Crows Nest ! This is crap crap crap Crikey – tardy work indeed. Next we’ll be hearing how hard up future traders/hedge managers direct from the market. Oh boo hoo.
Just recently my Girlfriend and I (Who live in Newcastle) have been looking into buying a house. After weeks of inspecting houses and deliberating about exactly what we want one thing has been very clear.
A) The market is desperate to the point of being freaky scary. (Or maybe that is normal?)
B)Real estate agents have no idea what is going on in the market and don’t seem to communicate much with other real estate agents about whats going on.
So should we trust Micheal the real estate agent from Sydney
Don’t think so.
“Sydney real estate is booming” Of course it is and today’s $42 billion stimulus package is actually just a dress rehersal in case things really get bad. Or possibly this is all a mirage so long as you live under an open for inspection board. Imaginations are the things that keep booming!