The latest face-to-face Roy Morgan poll shows a further deterioration in Labor’s vote, with its primary vote falling 3.5% to 37.5%, well behind the Coalition on 43%.
However, the drain on Labor’s vote is not going to the Opposition but to minor parties, with the Greens vote up 3% to 12%. It means the 2PP outcome moved 1% down for Labor to 50.5-49.5%.
However, the poll, conducted last weekend after the Federal Budget, also showed Labor may no longer be able to rely on Green preferences, with Green voters now splitting 60:40 to Labor and the Coalition, well down on the 80:20 split in 2007.
The poll is the fifth week in a row that Labor’s vote has fallen, despite a rise in both consumer confidence and the number of voters who believe Australia is “headed in the right direction”.
Both Morgan and other polls have found Australians believe is headed in the right direction economically, but are failing to give the Government any credit for it. That suggests Kevin Rudd’s communications problems are become acute as we head into an election that will strongly feature competing claims of economic competence.
Come on Bernie Boy you can do better than this.
Be fair.
The vote is 51% Lib – 49% ALP if you take the voters word for where there preference goes – not as you put it, where it went in the 2007 election.
You can wish for your desired result as much as you want but in the end the pain will be the same – RUD GONE !!!
So 40% of Green voters would preference a party that is overtly religious, homophobic and whose leader believes climate change is “crap”?
Sorry I don’t buy it. They’re just really disillusioned with Rudd (aren’t we all), but in the booth they’re not going to vote for what Keating so accurately described as “the Punishers and Straighteners”.
I think the informal vote this year will be a record!
I think the take home message for rudd that he’s not heeding at the moment should be stop pissing on the left of the political spectrum in your desperation to get the blue collar vote that you may not get anyway