“It’s getting to the stage where Julia Gillard, Tony Abbott and the nation would actually be better of if we just went back to the polls.” Dennis Shanahan’s comment in today’s Australian might be a sincere piece of political analysis, a cry from the heart or a shrewd judgement about which way the independents might jump, but it also says something about the role of the Canberra press gallery in national politics.
This is an intensely interesting period in Australian political history, and yet running through the commentary seems to be an assumption that the pre-election status quo — which had almost brought policyn making to a halt on both sides of parliament — is preferable to allowing the three independents any say over the composition of the next government. It’s not surprising that MPs from the major parties are unsettled by the week’s events, but it’s strange that so many commentators seem also to be yearning for a familiar landscape.
The main charge being levelled against Tony Windsor, Rob Oakeshott and Bob Katter is that they don’t have a common view on issues such as climate change and asylum seekers. “Sorry guys,” writes the Age’s Katharine Murphy, echoing comments by her Fairfax colleague Phillip Coorey at yesterday’s National Press Club lunch. “The sentiment is great. But these look like the same old policy differences and the same conflicts.” But these are independent MPs who campaigned individually in three quite different seats, so all we could reasonably expect them to have in common is a seat on the cross benches. They share considerably more than that, though: Windsor and Oakeshott, in particular, have a long-term and well-developed interest in reforming parliament.
Their proposals originated in the close relationship between Windsor and Peter Andren, the independent member for Calare from 1996 until his death just before the 2007 election. Andren, a much-admired former news editor with regional television in Orange, one of Calare’s main centres, took up a series of issues that were unlikely to have majority backing in his electorate — he supported John Howard’s gun laws but opposed the crackdown on asylum seekers, for example — and in the process turned Calare into one of the safest seats in Australia. Parliamentary reform and tighter controls over electoral donations and MPs’ expenditure were among his priorities.
Since he won the Lyne by-election in 2008, Oakeshott has to some extent taken Andren’s place, adding ideas and enthusiasm to the informal grouping. Oakeshott, who won the NSW state seat of Port Macquarie as a National Party member in 1996, aged 26, left the party after seeing its developer friends doing battle with residents along the electorate’s coast. Contesting the following state election as an independent, his primary vote jumped to 70%, translating into a two-candidate-preferred vote of 82%. He resigned from state parliament in 2008 to contest Lyne.
Katter is the outlier in the group, the one whose views on climate and asylum seekers fuelled comments such Murphy’s in the Age. But, despite their differences, it’s hardly surprising that the three MPs, who between them have weathered years of indifference and sporadic attacks from both parties — but especially from the Coalition — decided to work as a group well before they were presented with this opportunity to influence the shape of parliament.
Their shared interest in parliamentary reform draws on the experience of other independents and minor parties in dealing with similar election outcomes in Victoria, Tasmania, New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory. In Victoria, for example, three independent MPs with quite distinct priorities — two who had much in common with the National Party, one a former Labor Party member — came together to back Steve Bracks’ Labor government through its first term. The arrangement was underpinned by a “charter” agreed to by the three independents and the Labor leader, and over three years Labor adopted virtually every initiative — reform of the upper house, increased autonomy for the state auditor-general, enhanced FOI legislation — it spelt out.
Not surprisingly, the Victorian independents didn’t vote as a bloc on other issues during that term of government. But they had won a remarkable set of concessions, reversing many of the anti-democratic moves of the Kennett government and dramatically modernising the Legislative Council.
Federally, the Coalition seemed to learn nothing from the growing popularity of the regional independents. In 2004, for example, the National Party campaigned against Andren’s support for asylum seekers — “A vote for Peter Andren is a vote against keeping Australia in safe hands” — yet he was returned with an increased majority. Four years later, the Nationals (who had held Lyne since it was created in 1952) tried to portray Oakeshott as a secret Labor supporter; he won 64% of the primary vote and a massive 74% of the two-candidate-preferred vote.
Obviously the party system will endure, and it’s likely that the next election will bring a return to majority government. But the major parties, and the media, should try to draw some lessons from this period of uncertainty. Tony Windsor (with 76% of the two-candidate-preferred vote at last count) and Bob Katter (69%) have a much higher level of support in their electorates than all but a handful of MPs who are backed by the resources of one of the major parties, and Rob Oakeshott (62%) is doing pretty well too.
Their moment of influence is an opportunity to think about how the parties themselves can reconnect with their local constituencies — not in a poll-driven way, but with the kind of dialogue that has enabled the more sophisticated independent MPs to follow their consciences without losing electoral support. And the major news outlets could consider how the unexpected rise to influence of these three MPs (and the Greens and Andrew Wilkie) might influence the way they report national politics in the future.
Peter Browne is editor of Inside Story. This story first appeared on its website.
Surely, what’s “at stake” for “Murdoch’s Limited News” is their lack of influence over these “maverick’s” – they won’t have as much input into “policy” – and the “returns for patronage”?
What annoys me is the media and pollies focus on a few fucking asylum seekers. Three elections now the lieberals have run on beating them up and the media cheer them on.
Why? What the fuck harm have they ever done us.
Its just good, old fashioned racism marilyn. The kind that made this country what it is today – with a MSM and major political parties dog-whistling to redneck stupidity while, at the same time, being one of the most successful multi-cultural societies on the planet.
Marilyn, you’re only saying that because it’s true! The Coalition runs this anti-asylum-seeker line because it works. It is pure cynicism, that delivers the support of a huge, ignorant, racist, xenophobic segment of the Australian population. They don’t even care that the prisoners on Nauru end up here anyway, it’s all about being aggressively nasty to people we don’t like because they look and sound funny.
What’s even more tragic is that Labor’s tactical experts, terrified of having unpopular policies, have determined that we should also have a “be mean to migrants” stance. I thought we were supposed to be the principled party.
But let’s look on the bright side – a virulent LNP-supporting Labot-hater said to me yesterday, “If I was the Prime Minister I’d let them all in.” So there are nice, reasonable people on both sides – pity we are so few.
It is just racism, in its most pure and revolting form – makes me feel ashamed. The recent UN report will probably not be taken seriously – again! Perhaps one day people will grow up or grow a heart or a conscience. Of course, they’re equally racist or worse towards aboriginal people too. I find it almost comical(in a sick, sad sort of way) that people from parts of the world that are or were known as hell holes re human rights etc, now want to stop others from receiving the same protection as were rightly afforded to them. It’s very sad and frustrating. I have recently obtained a newsletter from that wonderful organisation that looks after traumatised people from some of these countries, and their experiences must just be too awful to cope with. It’s called STARTTS which stands for, The NSW Service for The Treatment of Torture And Trauma Services – I didn’t know that they existed. So many people who may suffer from post traumatic stress disorders for life. And we only make their pain worse! Terrible situations and kids suffer too! Hardly the pride of a civilized society! Tonight’s Q&A should be interesting!
I agree with the sentiments expressed above. It’s heartening to read your comments!