The most important task for global climate policy is to get First World countries to finance the developing world’s mitigation efforts. A crucial feature of Australia’s Clean Energy Future package is that it allows companies to purchase international “offsets” — credits for reducing emissions overseas. Many environmentalists attack this, because we should cut our own pollution rather than pay foreigners to reduce theirs. However, perverse as it may sound, “sending Australian money offshore” is exactly the right strategy if we hope to avert dangerous warming.
To an economist, such internationalism is plain commonsense. Many environmentalists, trapped by reflexive nationalism, think otherwise. Fergus Green in Crikey characterises use of international offsets as a “travesty of policy making” precisely because this approach seeks to reduce emissions efficiently on a global basis.
Why should Australians pay for emissions reductions overseas? Because over 97% of future emissions increase will occur outside the OECD. Because over two thirds of the lowest cost abatement opportunities are in the developing world. Because developing countries’ annual mitigation expenses — estimated at over $US140 billion — far exceed their own capacities.
Consider Indonesia, a major emitter of greenhouse gases, but also a country where around one third of the population lacks access to electricity, and per capita annual incomes average just $US4400. Does it seem likely that Indonesian voters, whose per capita emissions are quite low, will choose emissions restraint over access to electric lighting and refrigeration? Fortunately, Indonesia also presents Australia with opportunities; Indonesia’s emissions could be reduced cheaply through better management of forests and peatlands.
Tony Abbott spins webs of confusion around climate change, but he is correct to note that any Australian efforts are futile if pollution from developing countries such as China and Indonesia goes unchecked.
If a global agreement based on legally enforceable targets is unlikely, this raises a question — how should a rich, educated, ecologically vulnerable country like Australia respond?
Australia’s answer has been to promote international co-operation through policy that could support an efficient global response. And this is no futile gesture. Around the world there are significant experiments in progress. Several networks of states in North America are working towards GHG emissions trading, China is promising carbon pricing, and the Clean Development Mechanism already connects the European emissions market to abatement projects in the developing world. None of these initiatives is perfect, but in time they might expand and grow stronger. Australia’s outward-looking policy gives confidence to climate campaigners everywhere.
Fergus Green lambasts “boffins” (such as Ross Garnaut) who conceived of The Clean Energy Future Package for their naive faith in cooperation. It must warm the hearts of climate deniers to read this assault on a policy forged in the fierce heat of rationalist economic analysis. The co-operative global approach to which Garnaut’s policy is geared is the only politically plausible response that might also be effective. If Garnaut’s optimism is misplaced, which it may be, then we are at the end of the road. In this case our last defence against the dire predictions of climate science will be drawn from science fiction — a vast global experiment in “solar radiation management” to block sunlight and cool the planet.
Yet Fergus Green is no climate denier. He outlines his own idealistic vision — Australia must reject ‘economistic’ thinking, shut down its energy export industry, provide massive direct support for the renewable energy sector and unilaterally embrace a low-carbon future. Obviously, such policies would be economically ruinous. But, by only limiting Australian emissions, they would also do very little to avert dangerous climate change. And international experience suggests that myriad forms of state capture and rent seeking arise where governments attempt such green interventionism. The astronomical cost of emissions reductions in Germany illustrates this point.
Impractical thinking is common across the political spectrum — take Adam Bandt’s enthusiasm for “local electricity plants owned and run by streets and neighbourhoods” or the Liberal’s reliance on magically storing carbon in soil. It speaks volumes about the serious commitment of Bob Brown’s Greens that a quasi-socialist party has embraced a market-based approach. The irony that Tony Abbott promotes government intervention and derides the expertise of scientists and economists is equally revealing. This, in Malcolm Turnbull’s words, is the total triumph of know nothing.
The lack of effective global co-operation to address climate change is deeply worrisome. Australia must respond through investments in energy research and development. We should also seek international agreements to lift the global research effort. However, such measures should be additional to current policies.
It is bewildering that anyone with genuine concern about climate change should condemn a scheme that, given the poisonous political environment, is a wondrous miracle of good public policy. The Clean Energy Future Package is perhaps the worst climate policy imaginable, excepting all other policies that other countries have tried. With climate sceptics waiting to form government, and with no politically viable alternative in sight, this is the only game in town.
*Dr Jonathan Symons is an assistant professor at Lingnan University, Hong Kong. He is co-editor of Energy Security in the Era of Climate Change: The Asia Pacific Experience.
The best way to get international cooperation is to demonstrate that a modern industrial economy can start to transform itself. There is nothing inherent in trying to get the Australian economy to turn a corner towards reducing emissions that means that we have to stop working on international solutions, with our neighbors or anyone else. There is a whiff of market puritanism about this article that makes me wonder. If we don’t demonstrate that an economy like ours is willing to use every strong means at its disposal to transform our own energy and emissions story then we will be definitely ignored in any global forums rather than only possibly ignored. None of which prohibits us putting money into functional overseas emissions reductions, it just means we can’t do that while we pretend its only our poor neighbors that need to transform. How much more credible we will be as an international advocate for cooperation once we have demonstrated that we can make the tough decisions and prioritise our spending at home. God knows its expensive enough using taxpayer money to underpin coal export infrastructure, its not like we’re saving money by not tackling it!
Finally some common sense. International offsets, properly done, are the best possible form of emissions reduction as they embody crucial technology transfer and help ensure that the developing world develops by leap-frogging the western world’s dirty tech. All the arguments against international offsets are simply racism.
Humbug. The author attacks environmentalists for having a nationalistic outlook (inlook?).
He clearly has not ever read any environmental literature. The environment is, by definition, global.
Objections raised over international carbon trading relate to the problems of international trading. Regulation – the lack of. If we can know that our carbon credits are actually getting what they’re paying for, we can have no objection.
Without the environment movement, there would still be NO ACTION being taken on carbon polution. The accusation of nationalism is a pretty grave insult, I ask the author of this humbug article to take it back.
Matt d.
International emissions reduction is really important. its not clear that the best way to do that is by completely letting developed country industries off the hook through offsets. Most offsets overseas considered at the moment are related to either plantations or avoided deforestation. Both can be solutions but the offset link remains highly problematic, I don’t see why absolving countries like Australia playing our part by reducing emissions here, when we can easily afford it, and thereby setting an example, is somehow better. I’m prepared to accept some offsetting arrangements overseas for our industries if we are having a red hot go at reducing our own emissions here as fast as we can . We are clearly a long way from that and probably about to get worse if the carbon tax is rescinded. Until then we can find other ways to work on reductions both here and overseas that don’t involve giving our worst and most profitable polluters yet another handout.
And of course there is no chance that the various nonOECD regimes, few of which are democratic or even transparent in the necessary sense, will take the money and laugh.
Change our own industrial & domestic energy profligacy and, who knows, we might actually invent services or techniques of use elsewhere?