The announcement on Monday by Indonesian presidential candidate Joko “Jokowi” Widodo that his vice-presidential running mate will be former vice-president Jusuf Kalla (pictured) has calmed concerns that Indonesia could be headed back towards an era of increased military influence. Until this week, it had been suggested that Jokowi’s running mate would be hardline retired general Ryamizard Ryacudu.

Jokowi’s main competition for the presidency comes from hardline former general Prabowo Subianto, who was cashiered out of the army in 1998 for human rights abuses. Prabowo was the son-in-law of former President Suharto and was implicated in atrocities in East Timor and West Papua, as well as against student protesters in Jakarta in 1998.

The orientation of Jokowi, a populist, towards the army is unknown. However, he will represent the Indonesian Democratic Party-Struggle in the presidential race, with PDI-P having in the past been sympathetic to a military response to security problems.

However, Jusuf Kalla is likely to bring a moderate and technocratic influence to government, should he and Jokowi be successful. Current opinion polls suggest that they will have a comfortable victory in July’s presidential elections.

Jusuf Kalla was vice-president during outgoing president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s first and most successful term in office. It was during this time that Yudhoyono pushed through his main reforms, with Kalla playing a key role in many of them.

Among other roles, Kalla was given overall responsibility for the 2005 Aceh peace talks, which ultimately ended almost three decades of separatist war in Aceh and introduced a high degree of local autonomy. Kalla directed his two trusted lieutenants, then-justice minister Hamid Awaluddin and social welfare deputy minister Farid Hussein, who were important to the success of the talks. Kalla had previously led efforts to resolve conflicts in Ambon and Poso.

While Jokowi is from Central Java, Kalla is from Sulawesi, providing a geographic balance that is usually regarded as desirable in a presidential election team. Prabowo is seconded by Indonesia’s richest man and chairman of Golkar party, Aburizal Bakrie, a West Java resident born in Jakarta. Kalla is a former chairman of Golkar, which may result in a split in the vote of Indonesia’s second-largest political party.

A Jokowi-Kalla team, would it be successful, is likely to keep Indonesia on a path of continued moderate democratic reform. It is also likely to be less assertively nationalist than an administration led by Prabowo.

*Professor Damien Kingsbury is director of the Centre for Citizenship, Development and Human Rights at Deakin University