Last Friday in a media conference with Attorney-General George Brandis, Prime Minister Tony Abbott announced that the Australian terror threat would be raised from medium to high, meaning that a terrorist attack is “likely”.
In spite of this, the PM noted that there was no “specific evidence” of a terrorist attack and told us to go about our lives as normal. Crikey explains how what the high alert means and what might happen in the foreseeable future.
What is ‘high alert’?
Australia has a four-level system of alerts for national counter-terrorism: low, medium, high and extreme. This is the first time the terror alert level has been raised to “high” since the introduction of the system in 2003. Since its introduction, the alert level has consistently stayed at medium, signifying a terrorist attack “could occur”.
What does the announcement mean for everyday Australians?
The increased terror threat means that in some areas you may see a heightened level of security. State premiers have told us to expect more police at public events, plus greater security checks at transport hubs like bus and railway stations, airports, military bases and government buildings.
But the government emphasises that there’s no reason to stay away from public places or change your normal routine. Travelling overseas for work or holidays will not be a problem and exercising cautionary measures for international travel to certain countries will continue as normal. Experts say that levels of security will depend on where you are in the country, meaning that certain cities might have different levels of security.
Public places known to gather a crowd could be most vulnerable, so expect to see higher levels of security in key areas such as the Sydney Opera House or the MCG during the footy finals.
Are we the only ones with a high terror alert?
The United States did away with its colour-coded system of terror alerts in 2011 in favour of the National Terrorism Advisory System, which issues alerts in anticipation of specific threats. While the colour-coded system was in place, from 2002-2011, the level vacillated between elevated (yellow) and high (orange). It once was raised to severe (red), when British intelligence agencies intercepted plans to blow up an aircraft. Currently, in spite of an announcement by US President Barack Obama that the US intends to to “degrade and destroy” IS, counter-terrorism officials believe that Islamic State militants are not capable of carrying out attacks on US soil.
In the United Kingdom, the terror threat currently sits at severe, meaning a terrorist attack is highly likely. Islamic extremists based in the UK have contributed to the current situation and there have been several terrorist attack plots in the UK planned by residents. Britain has so far resisted calls to join the US coalition to launch airstrikes against IS, although Prime Minister David Cameron said he will not rule out this option.
Currently, Australia is the only country that has committed troops to the US coalition, with 600 troops and eight fighter jets to be deployed to the Middle East in an operation that could take “many months”. The French Foreign Minister declared on Friday he would take part in airstrikes if necessary.
How long will we be on high alert?
The Australian National Security website states that it is likely we will be living with increased security for the “foreseeable future”, though Abbott suggests that it could return to lower levels if the current threat reduces.
What form could a terrorist attack take?
ASIO’s Director-General David Irvine said the threat could manifest itself in a number of ways, including a bombing reminiscent of the Bali nightclub attack in 2002, or other attacks from loners and small groups.
Is this related to that metadata thing I’ve been hearing about?
There’s also talk of the government bringing in new laws to target foreign fighters as well as giving security agencies increased powers such as additional access to phone and computer records. But agencies have been pushing for data retention and other additional intelligence gathering powers now for several years.
What is next?
A public awareness campaign about the increased terror threat is expected to be launched in the coming weeks, and Abbott has advised people to report any suspicious activity to the national security hotline.
On the whole, the heightened alert level is probably best summed up by Queensland premier Campbell Newman, who issued a series of dramatic tweets on Friday afternoon urging Queenslanders to look out for things that are “out of the ordinary”, warning that “Intelligence agencies are hearing of individuals discussing potential criminal acts” and that there’d be a greater police presence at public gatherings. But then, as if Newman and his staff had realised people might be more reluctant to holiday or go out in public in Queensland because of his warnings, he added “there is no need to change your plans”.
Hi Toli,
Sadly, you’ve got it all wrong. See the following, allegedly written by John Cleese.
http://www.goodreads.com/topic/show/926647-alerts-to-threats-in-europe-by-john-cleese
How long will it last – at least until polls improve?
[Who knows? Irvine, with all this extra money, and his spoox may even catch another Mohamed Haneef – for their present-day Ghoulie Andrews to show off?]
So it’s a Claytons terror alert. The terror alert you have when you’re not having a terror alert.
To answer the question “exactly” requires a quantitative answer but that is exactly what the pro-war, pro-Zionist, warmongering, war criminal, US lackey Lib-Labs (Liberal-Laborals, Coalition and Labor Right) and their politicized public servants won’t do, either (a) because they don’t know or (b) they wouldn’t say if they did.
In contrast, the Greens and decent Labor MP Melissa Parke are quite correct in estimating that invading another country (Iraq) on the other side of the planet will surely increase the terrorism threat to Australia i.e. the tacist, warmongering Lib-Labs are increasing the terror threat to fellow Australians.
I don’t have the vast resources of oxymoronically-named Australian Intelligence or the traitorous Lib-Labs who put support for the war criminal US before the safety of Australians, however first year high school maths quickly gives a quantitative estimate of the terror threat to Australians as set out below:
1. About 66,000 Australians die preventably each year out of a population of 24 million (2014). Accordingly, the “empirical annual probability of an Australian dying preventably in Australia” is 66,000 /24 million =. 2.8 in 1,000 or 1 in 360.
2. 6 Australians were killed in Australia by “terrorists” in the last 37 years . The average Australian population in this period was about 18.1 million. Accordingly the “empirical annual probability of an Australian dying in Australia from terrorism” is 6/37 years x 18.1 million = 9 in 1000 million or 1 in 111 million per year.
3. Thus it is 111 million/360 = 0.308 million or about 300,000 times more likely for an Australian to die preventably (from smoking, alcohol, obesity, guns etc) than to die from a terrorist attack within Australia.
The endlessly lying, pro-war, pro-Zionist, US lackey Lib-Labs (Liberal-Laborals, Coalition and Labor Right) and politicized public servants are grossly lying about the “terrorist threat” to Australian – indeed THEY are the terrorist threat to an Australia in which 66,000 Australians die preventably each year linked to the fiscal perversions of (a) a longterm accrual cost of the 10-million-Muslim-deaths-so-far US War on Terror to Australia of $125 billion (see Gideon Polya. “Endless War on Terror. Huge cost for Australia & America”, MWC News, 14 October 2012: http://mwcnews.net/focus/analysis/22149-endless-war-on-terror.html ) and (b) subsidies for climate criminal greenhouse gas polluting corporations amounting to $300 billion per year in terms of the attendant Carbon Debt (see Gideon Polya, “Australian Coalition Government Sacrifices Key Industries While Committing Hundreds Of Billions Of Dollars To Carbon Pollution & War”, Countercurrents, 10 February, 2014: http://www.countercurrents.org/polya100214.htm ).
Terrorism is as terrorism does. Sensible, informed, numerate Australians will reject the anti-Australian and indeed anti-Humanity terrorism of the mendacious , pro-war, pro-Zionist, warmongering, war criminal, International Law-violating US lackey Lib-Labs (Liberal-Laborals, Coalition and Labor Right), vote 1 Green and put the Coalition last.