As Crikey has recently reported, the Reserve Bank’s growing concerns — and increasingly blunt language — about the Sydney and Melbourne property markets are beginning to loom larger on the government’s political radar.
For two years now, the RBA has been looking to engineer a transition from the mining investment boom to a more traditional pattern of economic growth for Australia, based more heavily on housing construction, via low interest rates. It has done so in a period when federal and state governments have been reducing public demand. And while much of the stimulus afforded by low interest rates has flowed into housing construction, it has also flowed into property investment, which has restarted a period of high growth in prices in markets where demand significantly outstrips supply: Sydney and Melbourne.
The reasons for this imbalance lie in the hands of politicians of both sides, not the RBA: it is federal politicians who have left intact policies like negative gearing that have driven housing investment. It is state politicians, particularly in NSW, who have failed to properly match land supply and infrastructure with demand. It is local government politicians who have allowed NIMBYism and hyperlocal politics to turn the development approval process into an ordeal for developers.
The RBA now appears to be dealing with the growing macroeconomic threat of a fall in property prices not just with its main tool, interest rates, but with macro prudential tools, though they are more properly the purview of the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority. Such tools, such as tougher lending rules, will serve to drive first home buyers out of the property market before they drive out investors.
Before interrogating the RBA about its concerns about unsustainable property price growth, politicians should be asking hard questions of themselves about why, collectively, they have created the conditions with an undersupply of housing and an oversupply of investment looking for real estate.
As someone who lives in a ‘leafy, inner eastern’ Melbourne suburb and doesn’t want a 5-storey block of flats next door or over the back fence and doesn’t want my suburb to be dozed so that we can squeeze more people in, I do not like Crikey’s constant criticisms of nimbyism.
What I would like is good planning and good architecture, not changes driven by get-rich-quick developers who buy a block, knock over a house and then want to squeeze as many units onto a block of land as they can without regard to whether they fit with the neighbourhood or impinge on neighbourhood amenity.
There are plenty of areas for medium and high density development to take place, and it doesn’t take place often enough in areas which are appropriate – no reason why in former industrial parts of inner suburbs or in areas such as shopping centres, buildings can’t be 6-7 stories high.
After all much of Europe manages to be high density with attractive-looking, liveable, enduring apartment buildings without sacrificing its low density housing.
The other issue is the nature of the dwellings going up: how many one bedroom box-room apartments does Melbourne need? Where are the roomier apartments that people might wish to move to when they downsize? Or that families could live in from when they move in as a couple and then stay in when they have children? There are very few of them being built and it appears that a lot of the units are being snapped up by investors not owner occupiers.
The other consideration is the need for more planned open space if we go down the high density road, plus services. In Docklands in Melbourne, Matthew Guy, the Planning Minister is approving tower blocks in large numbers. people are asking, where are the parks? where are the schools and shops? Developers don’t provide these.
Today there is an article on-line (Guardian? Age?) about the over supply of apartments in parts of inner Melbourne.
Better planning, good quality house and urban design, not developer-driven planning is what we need and haven’t got.
And there ends my diatribe.