That about wraps it up for the Trans-Pacific Partnership, killed off by a smirking Donald Trump in one of his first acts as President, presumably between furious rants about accurate reporting by the media. Australia’s Trade Minister Steve Ciobo, demonstrating the five stages of grief, is still in denial, claiming that it could still go ahead and even that China and Indonesia could be brought into it. Eventually, he might work out that performing CPR on a skeleton is a waste of time, but until then it will be fun to watch.
Even erstwhile spruikers of the TPP have now abandoned it. Professor Judith “Entertaining Mr” Sloan at The Australian once savaged “ratbags making hysteric and misinformed comments” about the TPP, including the ABC. Only in November — well after Trump’s victory — Sloan was lauding the deal. Now the good prof has changed her mind about what she terms the “dead-on-arrival Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement”, accusing Malcolm Turnbull of “spruiking a dead cat” (careful there, Judith). “We should not overlook that there were some contentious clauses in the TPP,” Sloan admitted, “such as the investor-to-state resolution clauses — something the US insisted be included in the early negotiations — and the extension of copyright and patent protections, which mainly would benefit the US.”
To the credit of Australia’s lead negotiator, Andrew Robb, both investor-state dispute settlements (ISDS) and the patent issue were partly — partly — ameliorated in the final draft from Australia’s point of view. The bigger problem with the TPP was that it simply had virtually no benefits for Australia: even the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade could find few benefits; a World Bank analysis found that the TPP would increase Australia’s GDP by just 0.7% in total (not annually) between now and 2030. This echoed a US government analysis showing negligible benefits for the US economy.
The lack of evidence of benefits from the TPP is why the government refused at all stages to countenance any independent assessment of the deal, even after an extraordinary intervention by Productivity Commission chairman Peter Harris, who criticised the lack of proper analysis and said he could do a proper assessment in four months. The PC has long been deeply sceptical of the over-hyped benefits of free trade agreements, especially the bilateral trade agreements, which sound great but merely serve to divert exports to different markets.
And that refusal to allow independent assessment of its cherished deal was of a piece with the intense secrecy in which the deal was negotiated — secret, that is, unless you were a US corporation, in which case you were allowed to see the text of the deal as it was being drafted, and even draft it yourself. In the end we had to rely on WikiLeaks to keep us up to date on the progress of drafting the agreement.
While the highly paid shiny bums of DFAT, and both Coalition and Labor politicians (the latter were guilty of the same secrecy on trade negotiations for equally bad trade deals like ACTA when in government), doubtless thought they were being clever by hiding the TPP from the public, in fact they were simply demonstrating how the deal had nothing to do with the national interest and much to do with our truckling to the United States and its corporate agenda, and demonstrating how illegitimate the entire process was. And in the end, the process that produced the deal was so discredited that neither of the US presidential election candidates was going to endorse it.
Perhaps trade negotiators, instead of engaging in denial, should reflect on their failure and work out a more democratic and legitimate way of trying to remove trade barriers.
“We should not overlook that there were some contentious clauses in the TPP” – but it was all right for Mistress Sloan to do just that, for the sake of the premise with which to apply the lash to said ‘ratbags’ (we all know who she meant by that).
And just because a TPP has no benefit for Australia doesn’t mean it’s a bad thing – sometimes a puppy just has to wag it’s tail to make it’s master happy?
… Pass the F35s please.
Thank God that the TPP is dead. Any Government that backed it and that may try to get the dead cat to bounce, should be dumped too. The dangerous investor-to-state resolution clauses were a Trojan horse that we could never tolerate. The TPP was a powerful weapon for the hugely wealthy multinational companies that pay no tax. Governments worldwide that are poor and in debt were vulnerable to this power grab of the greedy rich multinationals. Good riddance to bad rubbish.
Times 2 Jimbo.
Can someone explain why Turnbull & Co would wish to openly pursue such a dud deal?
“Conservative infallibility”?
(see “Iraq”)
There must have been some pecuniary advantage to the people involved. I just do not trust them.
As Jimbo said – any Party ..err.. party to agreeing with this sellout of the national interest should be repudiated at the ballot box.
Could not be simpler – the Duopoly of grifting apparatchiks throughout Parliament were gung-ho for this.
Only the Greens & Independents stood against the Behemoth in the national interest. Remember that, anyone?
And next month, when it’s called the TPAP, everyone will be in favour of it again, and we’ll have to go through demolishing it yet again.
Come on Mike. When were we all in favour of the TPP. When you said ‘WE’ did you mean Murdoch’s journalists?
Every politician seems to think it’s the best thing since sliced bread[1], and the ‘we’ I used was to redemolish it. I recall the TPP having a few previous incarnations, similar definitions, different acronyms.
[1] it’s had ‘bipartisan’ support from Labor and LNP, with only the Greens opposing it.
Murdoch NewsCrap organisation has churnalists, stenographers and typists, …not journalists. Journalists that’s too highbrow for NewsCrap.
I hope you’re wrong Mike. I am even naive enough to think that the parties might fess up that this was a pile of shite and that they were deeply wrong and had seen the error of their ways and would not enter into such tripe in future.
But I suspect you’re right, and that I’ll be whistling dixie.
stay awake