There’s a strong incentive for both the government and the opposition to work out a solution on energy policy, and it’s the same incentive that Tony Abbott has to campaign hard against it. Consumers face a wave of big power price increases in coming months — partly due to the lack of investment in energy capacity, but partly also because power companies, including government-owned companies, have been gaming a wholly inadequate regulatory system and the hapless regulators supposedly overseeing it. Power companies stand to make a killing at a time when consumers have endured two years of stagnant wages and, more recently, declining real wages.
It’s another potent demonstration that the economy isn’t working for average consumers, but instead helping corporations, who benefit from declining wages and the ability to gouge consumers for what people see as a basic utility.
This is the biggest problem the major political parties face currently: a deep anger within the electorate that corporations are winning and they’re losing, that companies can do what they like but the average worker is stuck without a pay rise as power bills go up by hundreds of dollars — a they’ve been doing for years now.
Meanwhile, we’ve done zip about climate change, so there hasn’t even been an external benefit for thousands of dollars more we’ve all paid to keep the lights on over the last decade.
Don’t underestimate how toxic this is. Any politician promising business as usual will get short shrift. And politicians promising policies that would have been laughed off the agenda even last year are suddenly seeing their ideas embraced.
Just ask the Greens, who’ve been pushing a bank tax for years.
So the major parties have to get this right — the government, in particular, given it came into office claiming that repealing the carbon price would lead to cuts in power prices. But if Labor — even though it has been quicker to respond to the electoral mood — is seen as standing in the way, it will earn the wrath of voters. It’s not just for altruism that Bill Shorten has extended the hand of bipartisanship on a Clean Energy Target.
[LET the fight begin — Turnbull must defeat Abbott over energy]
And while Tony Abbott’s socialist coal fetish means, inevitably, even higher costs than under either an emissions intensity scheme or a low/clean energy target, the resentment about rising power prices offers a rich vein of discontent for him to exploit — especially if his goal is simply to get rid of Turnbull, rather than restore himself to the prime ministership. The latter would entail offering a coherent policy, something that has long proved difficult for a man whose strength is very much in tearing down what others put forward.
While the energy policy debacle of recent years is primarily the result of the actions of a group of denialists within the Liberal Party, the entire political class (including pro-market Canberra commentators like me) bears responsibility for an energy market that has become badly dysfunctional. Voter tolerance for unreliable, expensive power would be limited at the best of times. When business has been pushing down wages growth for years, it becomes a political powder keg that politicians need to prevent from reaching ignition point.
It would help if a bald fact was aired. Shorten (& shadow minister Mark Butler) should simply state:
– what was the overall average price per Mwh prior to Abbott ‘axing the tax’
– what is the overall average price per Mwh today.
That fool, Pyne, was on breakfast TV this morning claiming the price had dropped after the carbon price was killed off. A superb example of politicians being far removed from the daily experience of voters. Shorten should give us the simple facts, not the usual vagaries which predictably refute the government’s ludicrous claims. Facts.
“That fool Pyne”, costs us billions to keep his job. Not necessarily just a fool, but, in my opinion, certainly another grasping, self serving politician who’s lying when his lips move.
Bernard – you could actually have illustrated your yarn with some concrete evidence, that being that ACTEW-AGL (ie ACT Electricity and Water and AGL), which is the main supplier into the ACT, announced on Wednesday (the day after the ACT Budget was announced) that prices would be rising in the year ahead – electricity by 19% and gas by 18%. People are a bit cranky about this. It means the cost of power for the “average” household will rise by $600 a year (which will be about $750-800 after tax) but no comensurate pay or pension rises.
Thanks Bernard. For both major parties just suffering at the ballot box is not enough penalty for the gross negligence they have exposed us to, not just in the short term, but the mess they are setting up for our kids and their kids to inherit.
A few (false flag) terrorist attacks will probably serve as a distraction from the anger. Voters will be more interested in the government promising on providing them with security and safety than power bills.
“… the entire political class (including pro-market Canberra commentators like me) bears responsibility for an energy market that has become badly dysfunctional.”
You say that as if this is one isolated area in which privatisation has gone atypically wrong. But the entire system of corporations running virtual monopolies is broken. It’s simply a platform for parasitic rent-seekers, and there’s no way to fix it. Renationalisation of power, water, public transport etc is the only solution.
Hear, Hear! The problem, Bernard, is that too many bureaucrats and politicians from both sides have swallowed the ideological doctrine in Economics 101 that “it is as if” our real world economy fits the neo-classical perfectly competitive model of a market economy. Nothing could be further from the truth, especially in Australia, where Xoanon is perfectly right about the horde of rent seekers battening on us with business as usual.
The electorate only needs to listen to Tony Abbott, who declares that the LNP is the party of low electricity prices, to know what to do to the Turnbull government when next it gets a chance.
Couldn’t agree more, from power to communications to housing, privatisation has been disastrous for this country. Allowing corporations to set prices and supply with virtually no regulation is just nuts and shows just how stupid we are for continuing to allow it.
Xoanon, your comment is at the very centre of the problem. Where a natural monopoly, or duopoly, is going to be the outcome of privatisation then it can only end in tears for the taxpayer and the consumer.
If they were owned by government, the profits would go back into consolidated revenue, and pollies could be kicked out of office if those profits were overly large.
This is a classic example of how rational economics is, was, and always has been anything but rational. It is neoliberal economics, that thinks that only the private sector should deliver services, it is the very heart of LNP policy (except as it pertains to services to farmers, at which point it’s ok to ignore classical market theory).
The same could be said of outsourcing public service positions and increasing your number of consultants. We pay double and get compromised advice from them, because they are beholden to ‘he who pays the piper’. What a mess, couldn’t be worse if they tried.
And Tony Abbott, what a tosser. Coal will not bring energy prices down and he needs to be called out for that simple fact.