What’s the deal with inviting Australia to everything we’re not really part of? It started with the Eurovision song contest, and now we’re getting to go to the G7, like a bunch of rubes who get to sit at the big table.
We’re not the only ones being invited, but the others — South Korea, India and South Africa — are all much larger in terms of population and heft.
We’re the add-on, the white guys with the largely vacant lot at the end of an unfashionable cul-de-sac. Now nearly half-a-century old, the G7 is being reshaped yet again. After a brief period as the G8, with Russia, and the thought that it might become the G10, G12, etc, and the creation of a fully multilateral G20, we have returned to the Western command model with a few guest appearances.
The absurdity of having a global leadership body in which Canada is a full member but India is not gives a lie to the notion that this is a group of parliamentary democracies. Italy may soon exit the democracy club; it is unlikely to be expelled.
The subtle shift in the group’s fortunes, and the world’s, can be seen in its changing rhetoric. Until a decade or so ago, it strutted across the Western, and then the world, stage. Now it is constituted as a defensive body against the remorseless rise of China, a rise the G7 countries have, separately, spent decades fostering.
Scott Morrison’s speech yesterday, with its lame attacks on China, is Australia singing for its supper at the table. The attack on the world’s leading non-white power has been subcontracted out to the white settler-colonial ratbag, and ensures that we will be invited back.
There is much to condemn in China, true. Pointing out that its rise out of imperialist-era poverty was achieved by ignoring almost everything the Washington consensus gang advised to, and imposed on, developing states — and is a heroic achievement of humankind — shouldn’t blind us to the fact that its continued authoritarianism is not merely generally repressive — an arguably justifiable strategy at this stage — but specifically racist, as regards the Uyghurs and others.
China, now, is sui generis. It is somewhat Marxist, somewhat capitalist, and somewhat of a normalised fascism. But we can’t say this was anything new. Its post-1979 Marxist “transitional” dirigisme was always tilted towards Han Chinese expansion within the country. No one raised a peep for decades.
Our self-interest would be best expressed by relentless sycophancy to the Chinese miracle, and utter silence on human rights. We’re the country who has become most utterly dependent on China. Well, except for the United States of course — and there’s the rub.
It was all “look at the gleaming towers of Shanghai”, and how Deng Xiaoping is a Carpenters fan, etc. So there is something weird about us having to be the muggins who calls out the big panda. We have the most to lose from angering it — and we are losing at the moment.
There is no “Chistralia” — we’re simply dependent. But there is a “Chimerica” with mutual interdependence based on China propping up US global dominance by currency, so that China’s US debt holdings are not immediately and catastrophically devalued.
That is holding off not merely greater conflict but the creation of a global China-India-etc-led pool currency to replace the greenback. That indicates a fascinating paradox about the course of the global liberal order. In one respect, the free-trade liberals were right.
Global interdependency has made war that much more difficult; everyone’s making money like bandits and don’t want to lose the grift. But far from promoting freedom, free trade ensures its opposite. It makes real objection to another nation’s murderous oppression impossible.
National self-sufficiency, to the greatest degree possible, is not merely a wise strategy in terms of survival, it allows for a real moral stand, and to stand up for oppressed groups within other countries. The noises we are making on Chinese human rights are just so much chin music.
I’m emphatically not saying that we shouldn’t make them for reasons of hypocrisy, not lecturing Asians, etc. I’m saying we, and others, gave away the capacity to give such pronouncements weight decades ago, and we all knew exactly what we were doing.
A third of a century ago, we went down the Anglo path of giving away our industrial base, rather than the German path of modernising it within a state-market framework. Was the German path even possible for us? We’ll never really know. We had great reserves of national solidarity to draw on in taking the latter, which could have been deracialised and repurposed. But the culture that has emerged from that standing-down may have made reclaiming such impossible: atomised, hedonised dependency has shaped us in a certain way.
But then, to a degree, if we’re really going to be honest, the impossibility of our position in the future was laid down deep in our past. Within the next two decades, the major powers’ military fighting capacity will surely become so high-tech and automated that any notion of our own national defence of this vast continent will become absurd.
These possibilities are not symmetrical. To put it in the bluntest realpolitik, a US-Australian alliance in such circumstances would rely on “whiteness” (or “non-East Asianness”) to bind it together. By those two decades hence, we will be a far more Eurasian nation than now. Even if we wanted to draw on that icky possibility, it may not be open to us. And the US may be changed substantially: a post-democratic isolationist nation, happy to hand over the hemisphere.
These events are already under way. However we prepare for them, the very worst way, it would seem, is to be the West’s official entry, null points, at this new song and dance spectacular.
In the short term we need to stay out of any and all American wars and “forward defences” — especially the very forward defence of ending up in a Chinese sea, between a rebel province Chinese island and a Chinese mainland — and, should total geopolitical conflict threaten in a couple of decades, make the fundamental decision to either let the US completely take us over in military terms, or admit that the place is indefensible and consider how and under what conditions we would acquiesce to a mass demographic realignment, and consider the project known as “Australia” to now be superseded.
Is Australia “like a bunch of rubes who get to sit at the big table” or are we big kids now? Send your thoughts to letters@crikey.com.au, and don’t forget to include your full name if you’d like to be considered for publication.
Take a look at yourself ‘Straya’. New laws permitting indefinite detention, secret trials, yes we know of one but have there been more ? Dawn raids, a three year old who has only known detention, has no idea what it is to meet other children, play with them. The only folk in her life beyond Mum, Dad, sister are adults in or out of uniform, all with authority. Haven’t even mention the willful destruction of ‘sacred’ sites belonging to the other in our short history. How has a country with a strong alternative tradition finished up where we are today.
Cast first the beam out of thy own eye; and then shalt thou see clearly to take out the mote from thy brother’s eye.
Hypocrisy and Australian business going for the dumb-it-down low-skilled service and tourism model economy are no reasons to stop involving ourselves in human rights issues anywhere in the world. Indeed, if there is one thing liberal democracies have allowed for it’s the moral high ground that produced Amnesty International, for example. And that ‘norm’ of the fading white west may in the end be its only relevant legacy; international busybodies our best export.
As we and the US et al become less ‘white’ we may find our competitive advantage is the social cohesion and relative freedom that is built on free speech, liberal democracy (for what it’s worth) and the ability to have significant social compacts, movements and groups outside of government control.
I’ve long wondered how our local capitalists couldn’t see that their international competitiveness could only benefit from promoting improved workers rights, pay and conditions in our local SE Asian competitors, rather than the long campaign to reduce worker’s conditions and purchasing power domestically. Increasing their costs could only help ours to become more affordable. But, greed has its own logic and inevitabilities.
Best use of ‘dirigisme’ in many a long year, BTW.
Dont worry- A certain rodent spent his entire time during the pandemic flying around the world, spending time in Africa & elsewhere setting up business for himself just for this scenario. He will keep doubling his billions now that he has diversified into Africa. Pretending he is stopping slavery. Yeah. Right.
I wonder what the antonym would be for what we have – a government & society arranged and implemented to suit business?
It doesnt. The article wasnt on the Uighers per se, but on the contradictory position that trade dependency has got us into with regard to political independence….
Australia will never be indefensible, being girt by sea (as we wisely tell the world every olympics). In a few decades the world will face issues of a rising sea level that will dwarf considerations of national security as we know it. Everything will change in unforseeable ways. Instead of spending $100 billion on submarines we should spend it on dumping coal, gas and oil, then a few hundred billion more. Then some more. It’s the only future we can plan for.
We need a good pandemic, say, to give us some width to our imagination.
I think the automation of military forces does indeed eventually render Australia indefensible, given population, area and coastline
Surely nobody thinks China has any plans to actually invade Australia. Modern conflict is more about cyber attacks, trade wars etc.
But my worry is, when we see what the world is like when the dominant power is a nationalistic, authoritarian state with a culture somewhat alien to what we’re used to, we will feel uncomfortable.
What ? “… the one we’re used to…” which coerced us into the Vietnam, the Iraq and Afghan invasions?The same that engineered the dismissal of the Whitlam Govt which was about to nationalize our natural resources a la Norway and review/reassess the risks associated with Pine Gap?
I strongly advise you to listen to the ABC’s podcast of Philip Adams’ interview with GR on the topic and reference Peter Edwards’ coverage of how Australia was convinced by the US to enter the Vietnam War ( see The_Official_History_of_Australia’s_Involvement_in_Southeast_Asian_Conflicts_1948- 1975)
I’m not defending the Vietnam war, which I marched against in my youth. I am simply saying (from the viewpoint of someone who has spent years in China) that we will find their way of dominating the world different from the Anglosphere hegemony we’re used to.
I taught in Chinese unis for more than 6 years.
In other words, you have a heavy investment in arguing that you didn’t
waste your time there.
Ooh, that reminds me, I left one of the lists – Laos.
Had a greater tonnage of bombs dropped on them by the Yanks and allies, than were dropped on everyone, by everyone, in WWII.
And, many were cluster bombs, so they have an enduring unexploded bomblet problem.
Still, fear not, O’Bomber apologised, and tipped in about tuppence halfpenny to help the Laotians alleviate the unexploded bomblet problem.
So much so, that now at the current rate of disarming the bomblets it will only take Laos about 1,000 years to get to the point where their farmers can cultivate the land, and their kids can frolic about, without being blown up.
Never forget. Now they are setting up home in the north of our country, & there is talk of a blended military. FFS why is no one jumping up & down about this……
whereas we’ve been comfortable with a nationalistic, imperialistic, racist state with a gun culture?
I’d say yes, on the whole. (no moral judgment, just a statement of fact.) Wouldn’t you?
China’s attitude to invading Straya is right in line with the Russian attitude to the always hyped threat they’re about to invade Ukraine.
The Russian attitude to invading Ukraine? Why in the hell would we do that, why would we want the worry?
A very unproductive activity, trying to control other countries while ‘on site’.
The case against invasion & occupation to access resources was made by the great humanitarian Darth Cheney, who mused after GWII “It would have been cheaper to buy the oil than steal it.”
Who the hell was Russia’s economy dependant on? We know where China gets its wealth. From us! Western countries are already exhorting other Asian nations to step up in competition to China. If China went ‘rogue’ the west would cut them off immediately (well, soonish) and they know it.
I don’t really know where you are going with this, Guy.
We have always been vulnerable to a determined invader lest we have a powerful ally to deter them, this problem doesn’t get better or worse with automation of foreign military forces. We have vast areas that would immediately fall from lack of defense, without the strength of an ally to keep them from getting a foothold we would have to fall behind a Brisbane Line. South of there the same difficulties for occupying a place anyone faces invading anywhere comes into play, you just can’t control millions living in cities without consent and they’ll make life hell for unwelcome invaders.
If anything, automation is the only way we could ever remedy this, and have the capability to project force sufficient to halt an invasion force on our own before they race through the deserts planting their flags.
True GR – we are still committed to a $90bn (and still counting counting) submarine technology that will be obsolete by the time it hits the water. This is looking a lot worse than the Collins Class stuff up.
I would have thought the exact opposite. Instead of wasting hundreds of billions on future-useless submarines or F35 fighters, we should be investing in thousands or millions of drones.
Asymmetric warfare GRundle if we are serious about Australia’s defense, Why are we and the Americans leaving Afghanistan after all this time ? Japanese Co-prosperity Spheres and Thousand year Reichs are so last century. What we are is increasingly a lily pad for the US in its confrontation with China, if the missiles fly it will be US facilities in Oz that will be targeted plus any Oz facilities seen as offering critical support. If the outcome favours China then the US will retain Pacific influence but the Inner and Outer Island chains will have a political deal with China to make as will Oz.
Huge concern this talk of US & Aust military ‘cooperation’ expanding-from ABC’s Andrew Greene;
“Senior officials from both nations are discussing options for expanded military cooperation, which the ABC has learnt include a proposal to form a new JOINT* US marines and ADF training brigade based in Darwin” JOINT. THIS WILL NOT GO WELL. We learnt NOTHING from Vietnam. NOTHING.
*my emphasis.
I suspect that the specifically Anglo-Saxon world is being reorganized into a full blown Military Alliance complete with ‘Honorary Members’. to sustain a place at the top table as the geo-political world reconfigures. In essence we are going into opposition to Asia rather than incrementally joining it as our geography would suggest.
The nuclear bell hasn’t rung yet but it’s obviously on its way via the new warheads for cruise missiles to be integral to our new submarines and the redefinition of the role of the F35’s into stand-off launch platforms. Missiles will also be essential to defend all these new military assets being located into Australia. The UK being the unsinkable aircraft carrier offshore Western Europe and Australia the unsinkable aircraft carrier offshore Asia. If I’m on the money there will be significant political knockons within the Australian political and diplomatic world.
Here’s a news article fundamental to what is now well underway if you read between the lines and knowing what is happening in Oz.
https://www.defense.gov/Explore/News/Article/Article/2651742/austin-signs-internal-directive-to-unify-departments-china-efforts/
True B, investing in their local manufacture, with interchangeable parts and alternative applications for commercial use in agriculture, air and sea rescue, climate / environmental monitoring etc.
The single greatest innovation the Japanese made to take over, first British motorcycle dominance then the general auto world was standardisation of TOOL SIZES.
Anyone who remembers the nightmare of BSF, SAE, Whitworth, metric for Euroid components and specialist spanners could not help but fall in love with Japan engines & running gear – 10-13mm (+15-18mm for small trucks) will do 80% of all jobs and the remainder were always to hand, in a single nest.
Between that and interchangeability of parts themselves is the way of the future… of a domestic EV, turbine & windmill industry.
Sigh, such dreams… would that Tomorrow and Tomorrow, M Barnard Eldershaw were better known, 50odd pages banned when written WWII and not ‘allowed’ to be included until 1984 (sic!?).
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/australia-must-act-to-slow-indonesia-drift-to-china-former-minister-20210609-p57ze1.html
Come on chaps it is not all that long ago that our LNP government was warning us about an Indonesian invasion – which pre-election period was that? Now of course our government is busy warning about a Chinese invasion – pre-election of course. So Mr Morrison and Foreign Minister Dutton can be forgiven for being too busy to take too much notice of Indonesia
Ahem . . Defence Minister Dutton?
That was no slip of the pen ‘graybul – since when could Payne be called that?
Ah, yes, Indonesia. My, my isn’t the Strayan political and media establishment so very quiet about what is transpiring in West Papua, right now.
Human rights abuses? Smashing International Law to smithereens? Right on our door step?!
Add in the fact that a number of the Indonesian forces, currently in West Papua, are putting into action the training provided by ‘educators’ currently employed by the AFP, and by former members of the ADF now acting in a contracting capacity.
And, of course, Bernard Collaery and Witness K are currently in a ‘secret court’ attempting to fend off ‘authorities’, who are in pursuit for BC and WK having the temerity to mention a previous catalogue of Australian bastardry in the ‘foreign affairs’ arena.
Oh, yeah, anyone know how Clinton Fernandes is getting along, is his attempt to provide the documentation on Straya’s ‘intelligence’ services involvement to removing Salvadore Allende in Chile? Just so the Chicago Boys’, and Maggie Thatcher’s favourite fascista, ‘Aug’ Pinochet, could turn Chile into a ‘laboratory’ for Western financial capital, and experimentation with some of the nastier tools of oppression.