Well, Labor really took the fight to the Coalition on the gas issue, didn’t it? I do not mean that sarcastically. But nor do I mean it literally.
It certainly didn’t do the Obama/Rudd thing of simply ignoring the political attacks from the opposition on the grounds that they were ludicrous — which they were. But nor did it lead with a politics-first attack. Chris Bowen, in his donnish manner, expressed exasperation at the opposition’s cynicism and wilful stupidity around the “gas trigger” mechanism: “But … it wouldn’t kick in until January!” Yes, Labor knows that, Chris. That’s why it said it.
Bowen should have led with the slap-down he proceeded to give after we’d all had a quick tutorial in gas management. Keep it simple, make it the lead: “This opposition gave us a decade of waste and failure; it has nothing to offer at this point. Now let me tell you about pipeline maximisation pricing yields, you may want to take a wee break first…”
There’s still a dose of the old asymmetry that will bedevil Labor. People on the centre-left believe in objective truth, and solving problems in ways that minimise inequality and maximise universal possibility. The right has no regard for truth whatsoever, and would quite like to gouge out the eyes of the weak with boat hooks. Whatever values of collective life the right had, arising from traditional values, have been worn away by 40 years of neoliberalism — and here, especially by the past decade.
The right has nothing left. The nihilism of market-led politics has eroded the ground beneath its feet that was essential to its politics. To compensate, it has tried to inject ever more explicit “rich content” — Anzac, Gallipoli, Western civilisation, etc — like a political botox job.
Last year that stopped working in Australia. As your correspondent noted, the culture wars, in their existing iteration at least, were coming to a close. The right is now in the position that the radical left was in throughout the late 1970s. Western industrial capitalism was being dismantled, and class politics with it.
The right was bold and assertive, and had a complete program. The left was in denial and wasted a decade believing the coming of neoliberalism to be nothing more than a historical moment that would soon have its dialectical reversal.
But there the symmetry ends and the risks begin.
The right that took over at the beginning of the 1980s was bold and ideology-driven; the left it was carving up — the Carter administration and Callaghan government — was barely left at all, drained of command by compromise and centrism. The right triumphed not because it offered technical fixes to economic problems, but because of its new value system replacing a failed postwar social-democratic liberalism.
The right has been living off that Thatcher-Reagan big bang ever since. Alan Tudge’s ridiculous fingering of the national curriculum was a distant echo of that, the surviving background radiation. As it persisted in that program, society changed underneath it. The moment for the right to pivot and shift its politics should have been at the same-sex marriage plebiscite, when only two otherwise utterly different areas — Western Sydney and Central Queensland — voted no, and everyone else said either “Hell yes!” or (mostly) “Sure. Whatever. Who cares who you do?”
That would have been the moment for adopting a sensible, progressive conservatism as the right’s house ideology. Instead, in installing a compromise candidate for leader, it got itself a Christian warrior who took the opportunity for one last rally. Labor’s victory has been narrow, but the Coalition’s defeat has been broad.
That tells you the true nature of what happened. What won was progressivism, which is the politics of a knowledge/information society. Industrial society relies on the steering of capital and labour via money and bureaucratic command. A knowledge/information economy relies on dialogic discourse, oriented to truth-finding. Your developing software to run machines? It has to be true, i.e. it has to work (unless you’re RMIT University, which will buy any old gobbledygook code, decade after decade). A lump of coal, a car, a widget isn’t “true” in the same way.
Capital may now be carried by knowledge economy processes, but only by respecting its truth-finding, evidentiary processes. So, gradually, what’s emerged is a politics based on those processes, that simply assumes them to be a world process. That’s the Greens and teals, and it’s Labor’s progressive dimension. One can see it sort of “clicking” into place. The failure of the hard right to self-organise may be a mark of the degree to which a progressive approach — in its deep structure at least — has achieved dominance of the political culture. It would explain why there was mass indifference to Katherine Deves’ version of the trans issue, and the particularly handcrafted, heritage moral panic made of trans persons in sports.
There is thus a hunger for a politics of practical and rational problem-solving, which Labor is leading with. But such a politics by its very nature does not establish simple dominance, because it is always oriented to the possibility that there are other arguments. Thatcher asserted a simple — and illusory — “truth” and acted from it. So did Lenin. The 20th century was Nietzsche’s century, the politics of will. Ours is one in which claims to real truth, and rights, are coming to the fore.
So the upshot would be that if a progressive government having won power does not find the right mix of assertion and evidence, a wilful and irrationalist right would have “one more” victory in it — and that “one more” could then take command in the era.
Progressivism, evidence, and truth dominate social and economic processes now, but they are not the property of all social classes equally. The more knowledge practices expand into everyday life, the more a divide opens between the organisers and organised. In 1960, a factory owner and factory worker could have a roughly equal idea of how the factory worked — and the engineer knew how it really worked. Today the engineer is the owner, and workers are divided between those who have an idea of how it works, and those who have none at all, people for whom life is becoming a series of sealed black boxes. The class struggle becomes one over how that knowledge is shared, whom it empowers and benefits, and whose kids get to get raised to have expertise within it.
Now in Australia I don’t think there’s a chance that a Liberal Party based around a Protestant ascendency of private school networks can make itself over as a populist representative of the knowledge-excluded, as the Republicans have done in the US. But it is not impossible that they could sneak a cheeky upset plurality victory in 2025 if Labor does not take command of the social knowledge/truth machine and make it work for the mass of people.
Labor could get really confused about what progressivism and truth-orientation mean as a global crisis unfolds and begins to batter us. It is identifying its role as being the (very limited) truth-teller about just how awful everything is. It’s clear that Jim Chalmers really enjoys giving bad news. There’s almost a smile of relish as he does it. Not because he wants people to suffer, but the opposite: he wants to dispel illusion so we can get on with addressing the real issues, beyond the, as I may have mentioned, “decade of failure and waste”. It’s genuine, but he looks like the vet, syringe in hand, who’s about to kill your dog and then bill you $350 for doing it.
Genuine, but that’s no free pass. Should Labor simply use its truth-oriented politics to enforce conformism of the population to the system, it will fail and deserve to. Right from the start, as these crises occur, it has to open the conversation about a wider reform of the system — a reform now simply structurally necessary, under any form of political philosophy, aside from headbanging blind libertarianism.
Millions of Australians have barely had a recovery since 2008-10. Capital took most of it, through quantitative easing — financial bubble investment, immune to interest rates. Now workers are being asked to pay the bill for the inflation inevitably following. That will create a crunch that Labor — and especially Labor-right wonks, the PhDs that Professor Peter “I forgot to vote” van Onselen billed and cooed over — can really get on the wrong side of. What’s left of the Labor left — and what’s left of leftness in the hearts of the Labor left — will have to wage war against this deep desire of Chalmers, Andrew Leigh, Andrew Charlton et al. to play “system cop”.
That is not said with the aim of saving Labor’s skin at all costs. If it becomes system cop in what is to come, it won’t be worth saving. Whatever happens, “red” community independents are going to emerge as candidates in Labor seats, starting with the Victorian election in November. Their preferences will wander to the right if Labor does not in some way represent the people against the system, because populism is the zone where “left” and “right” distinctions start to disappear. The Libs medulla-brain, junkyard-dog political sense will kick in, and someone on the hard right will emerge who is not a delusional narcissistic moron, and they will reap the benefit.
So no nonsense about not going left, and purity in impotence and all that crap, blah blah blah. It’s not a simple oldskool left-right thing. No one is proposing nationalising the 100 largest companies. But Labor is going to have to open the question of how, within a global system, we can use our multiple forms of knowledge to begin to build in other ways to live, steer the economy, and resolve the problems of a capital-dominated system that clearly, obviously, barely works at all anymore, even on its own terms.
Get that done, will ya? Your correspondent will be taking a week or so off, to lie very still for days on end. Have it on my desk when I get back. (I do not have a desk. See, that’s what I’m saying…)
Some excellent analysis and literature here Guy but I think you may be a little too optimistic. I don’t think, and I really believe this without knowing this, that you have not worked first hand or up front with hard, modern day capitalistic businesses. The exploiters of labour. The shonks, the backyard operators. The ones that give you a job and then, when you are about to buy a house based on that unwritten contract, pull the rug from under you and decide to put you on contract and you have to get the arvo shift somewhere else and miss seeing the misses for months until you get a better job. These jobs still exist. They are probably worse ow because there is no manufacturing to get a start and build experience or trade your skills in the workplace marketplace. If there are so many knowledge jobs, why are there so many gig economy workers, so many workers on rolling annualised full time contracts (where no bank will give you a loan), so many workers in casual employment, so many workers on piece rates, so many workers on inferior superannuation schemes (PSSap and Aware super, formerly First State), so many workers in demand in the exploitative and usually illegal horticulture industry, why is there so much demand for hospitality workers, retail workers and tourism workers – all of these characterised by lower than average pay, some no pay at all, irregular pay, harsh working conditions, inferior to no superannuation. Tell me this.
In the 2019 election campaign, I heard Chris Bowen give a succinct and irrefutable statement of what was wrong with franking credits, but I only heard it once, at 10.00 pm on the ABC, in front of a semi-somnolent Q&A audience. If only Labor had made a 30-second ad with a nurse earning $65,000 a year paying $15,000 tax and some wealthy share-owner getting the same amount as a gift from the government on top of their dividends… But I only heard it once. We could have had a fairer and saner tax system by now.
I agree the message needs to be simple. An acquaintance did not understand negative gearing until I explained it – she was perplexed how/why such a stupid tax deduction was implemented. Sometimes voters do not want to admit not understanding terminology such as ‘franking credits’ etc.They may end up voting for something they despise.
It may surprise you (well, probably not) that there are _still_ people claiming that Labor’s policy on franking credits was wrong. I recently got involved in a really tedious discussion on Twitter which I ended up muting because the idiots were dominating my feed.
Negative gearing and franking credits = TWO stupid tax breaks. Iniquitous rorts that the cunning rodent Howard baked into the tax system, knowing that entitled people would squeal like stuck pigs if anyone tried to fix them.
Howard made franking credits refundable (rather than ‘wasting’ & staying with the ATO under Hawke/Keating) but it was the latter duo responsible for negative gearing.
I thought negative gearing pre-dated them, but when Keating tried to get rid of it, he eventually squibbed it.
Howard’s cuts to capital gains tax turbocharged the negative gearing problem.
Exactly. Labor should have gone for vague slogans, like “We’ll level the playing field for home buyers and investors.”
Ew, yuck! You mentioned Alan Tudge and ‘fingering’ in the same sentence.
Why is it that it can’t be stated outright that the political process in Australia [the western world really ] has been routed by media ownership?
I quite enjoy chasing the wordy explanations and trying to extroplate meaning from Guy’s dancing journalist fingers, there’s gems and insight to be had, yet nearly every point he makes here can be driven home to the the neoliberal monopoly of media space.
It’s like sitting on a train and watching a car travelling at the same speed until it disappears behind some buildings then re emerges a bit further along. Most points made in the article have a corrupt media explanation otherwise the public would not have bought it.
Just too simplistic ?, I disagree all the groundwork to distort public opinion is laid with a heavy emphasis on how to sell which would not be successful without a very close relationship between commerce/ politics/ media being the medium and the presented performance/ product of persuasion.
Enjoy the week off, you’ve come up with some rip snorters over the past couple of months ,thanks ..
Stuart
the problem is that Murdoch went all stops out to help the Coalition, and Nine and Seven West weren’t much better.
Yet they still lost.
So yr argument doesn’t fit changing facts. My argument is that a knowledge class has a different relationship to information, and thats what makes something like teals possible.
Without retheorising your social model, you get a wrong map
It would also help if Labor rewrote our media ownership and diversity laws with emphasis on truth in news reporting and political ads with harsh consequences like massive fines and potential loss of the right to print, broadcast or publish for a period of six weeks.
I think it would see Rupert, Sky Fakenews and the rest of his coven from Hell packing up their tents and scuttling off to their ever shrinking sphere of influence.
I agree with your idea, except who would get to decide it’s fake news about fake news about news? Censorship with a line drawn where and who decides? That’s more dangerous than Murdoch and he’s bad enough.
Neoliberals have more of a stranglehold on media now than they have in the past 40 years or so.
While the mobilisation of doorknockers is a change in our typical social model[?] and one that has every chance of growing it was the impact of external factors that really gave those people something to talk about.
Communities pulling together and consideration of others as a result of climate change impact and Covid is the antithesis of Neoliberal ideology and Murdochian strategy- fear of others. Palmer’s ads this time were so lame they actually weakened the whole conservative campaign particularly in the cities which also helped
Your heading ,..taking the reins of progressivism infers that ideas/issues need to be explained debated and responded to, I’m saying that standing in the way is the same media structure that has empowered Neoliberalism for so long.
If mainstream media can host such parlance that would be a significant shift particularly from the media ownership and its vested interests.
I’m a bit confused with your reference to “social model”, if you are describing allowing people with disabilities the chance to engage on an equal basis , which media has been quite good at, as well as recognising and discussing workplace abuse etc.
But these issues only include people in the workplace and potentially add to profit, very different from tax responsibilities for multinationals/ fossil fuels / mining. and nationalising industries/utilities/sectors that worked better before they were defunded or privatised.
If knowledge and educating has finally broken through then Neoliberalism is finished which means that Murdoch, Palmer are finished and easily seen through.
My fear is that if a more egalitarian, democratic socialist society was allowed to re emerge and is a proven superior social economic to the US model those that stand to lose will take a very dim view of such a scenario arising.
Fundamentally I don’t think it was a security issue or the loans affair that scuppered the Whitlam government,
it was that the *US{CIA] couldn’t afford to have a country like ours show that sharing , living cheaply, a better work/life balance, environmentally alert, embracing first Nations, public ownership of utilities and services setting world standards, free education,health as a far better model than theirs.
It would almost definitely impact on market share / profit ratio’s for private investment int the US.
Our media environment that we have today was born at the end of the Whitlam years and it was not a coincidence is my argument.
And the way they do that is through political/ media control, shaping and winning hearts and minds, they didn’t like it then and they wont like it now.
We did lead the world in some areas and we need to again, it’s a big complicated sell with a hostile media environment.
The media get to edit and pander to the limit of interest of most voters – not all that interested in the ins and outs of politics, and how it actually influences our lives, because they’re more likely to blame “all politicians” for the latest cock-up d’jour.
That keep voting the way they’ve become habitiuated (almost as if they’ll vote for the same mob again, in the hope “This time they might get it right” : and to hell with their form) – rather than voting for a change : rather than admit they themselves have been wrong for so long – not to hold politics to account, to change “(party) motivation” and to change the way things have ben unsuccessfully done.
As if new brooms are too hard to break in – or get used too : compared to what they’re accustomed/used.
It didn’t work this time – but who’s to say it won’t when history is “forgotten” in an election or three when the gold-fish get another vote?
Media use a burnout/ threshold/ hype formula no doubt, if knowledge has broken through then we are in for sweeping changes, it does seem a little surreal compared to what I have witnessed in the past.
News corp is undoubtedly right of centre, but Google, Twitter, Facebook? In a fight who would you put your money on… in this dominant knowledge economy?
It depends on whether the social media/ information outlets you describe have an allegiance to business such as , big Pharma , big sugar ,big oil, big agri, the industrial military complex, etc.
Even then the ability to influence isn’t the same as an HR team working on an ideology and expressing it via an editorial/ persuasive media outlet.
If that is the case then knowledge / education has broken through and can’t really be shoved back under the rug, pushed back into the bottle.
I certainly hope you and Guy and many others are right.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-13/google-ai-lamda-sentient-engineer-blake-lemoine-says/101147222?utm_campaign=abc_news_web&utm_content=link&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_source=abc_news_web
An article from the ABC ,just in, I wonder what LaMDA thinks about influencing politics in another country via media, sentient being and all, is it a birthright or does it not take sides…off to work.
Editor – Guy is pretty good at what he does and your readers (mostly) seem to like his work – why don’t you get him a desk? Doesn’t have to be a flash one, but please not a standing desk – we’ll never hear the end of it.
There is a scene in the Charles Bukowski biopic where his genius is finally recognised and he is going to be funded to create his works at a desk in a sterile office space by some benevolent foundation or whatever. He sits down to try it but almost immediately gets on the turps (“you can’t eat on an empty stomach”) and gets himself booted out. I think being tied down to a desk somewhere is about as attractive to Guy. In any case, his observational skills would be wasted indoors.