Given what AUKUS might be leading us to — involvement in a full-scale global conflict that ends with our major cities destroyed in an afternoon — the valiant but futile effort put up by the anti-AUKUS forces at the recent Labor conference has a certain poignancy.
This is how it would go, you think. We would wave the flag and sing as much of “Australia Will Be There” before we vanish into heat.
So, too, the anti-AUKUS movement was over almost before it started. A full anti-AUKUS amendment, removing mention of it from the platform, did not make it to the debate stage, according to Zacharias Szumer’s blow-by-blow report, and a milder motion to remove reference to “nuclear-powered” submarines was lost, ploughed under by Defence Minister Richard Marles’ manifesto.
That there was any debate permitted at all was taken as some sort of consolation prize by the anti-AUKUS push, the new “Labor Against War” (LAW) group, and the Electrical Trades Union, parts of the Australian Manufacturing Workers’ Union (AMWU), and Fremantle MP Josh Wilson. But as everyone acknowledges, the amendment was allowed up, to be defeated, only as a way of showing the media that Labor is some sort of living party.
Labor is obviously cracked when it crows about the openness of its conferences compared with those of the “Greens political party”. Party conferences should be closed events if they’re real and decide things in actual debate, as the Greens do. Labor proudly shows us the North Korean-style furious agreement, and puts a bit of debate in as a catfish. The media should ask to attend the factional pre-meetings — at which point the party would suddenly remember reasons of confidentiality.
For the remnant progressive and left forces within Labor, the AUKUS depth-charging has pretty much blown it all out of the water. It’s only by the pitiful standards of internal political opposition of the moment that this political War of Jenkins’ Ear counts as a real opposition. Not only is there no faction of any size that has adopted opposition to AUKUS, the anti-AUKUS forces do not even have control of a subfaction. The real fight was within subgroups such as the AMWU, by activists attempting to turn the organisation to a more solid anti-AUKUS position. Compared to the epic fights of earlier times, that is a reaction within the nucleus of a nucleus.
That is not to diminish the spirit of the anti-AUKUS groups, or to suggest that there is no possibility of building something. If, as Zsumer records, 50 of 800 party branches have passed anti-AUKUS resolutions, then that is all the more impressive, given that the simple fact of being dead is no barrier to participating in Labor branch life.
But the forces that might have been possible to rally — the “Industrial Left” faction centred on the Construction, Forestry, Maritime, Mining and Energy Union (CFMMEU), the Rail, Tram and Bus Union (RTBU) and a couple of other unions — did not have the goods. And expecting them to do so in the way they once did is to cherish an illusion that will limit the anti-AUKUS forces ability to lay a base for future action.
The fact is that those looking for a revival of a genuine Labor left — now that the National Left faction is simply a subfaction of an enlarged right — will have slim pickings if they try to rely on the once militant character of unions centred on the core industrial working class. Though there was always a division between the radicalism of the leadership and the rank-and-file, the militancy and radicalism — connecting the struggles of the industrial workplace to opposition to the global regimes which enforced it — was real enough.
Now there may well be many workers who individually oppose AUKUS, but there’ll also be some who fervently support it, given that a not-insignificant faction in the CFMMEU is “children of the Ustashe”, it does not suggest itself as a natural anti-war bastion. So there is a bit of sleight-of-hand going on by Labor Against War and other groups. Its anti-AUKUS politics is largely an expression of knowledge class politics of a leadership elite, invoking a phantom rank-and-file as its legitimating mass, bound to turn up any day now.
That is unlikely to happen, and people within Labor need to face fully the transformation not merely of their party but of the world within which that party sits. Labor, and the labour movement, is now near wholly integrated with the global system of capital accumulation, through running the country as a unified national enterprise, through an industry superannuation scheme that has turned unions into labour management firms attached to the underside of vast zeppelins of money. From that position there is little opposition possible, because there is no “outside”, of any material import, to the system as a whole.
But Labor has the excuse that the groups it represents do not represent an “outside” to the system, as a relatively unified working class once did. There is no single working class any more; the impact of wage/salary gap expansion, FIFO, casualisation and mega-penalty rates in certain industries, and the resultant uneven distribution of asset accumulation has created two completely different groups — the other precarious, casual and including the benefits-dependent — whose interests do not coincide, and are often antagonistic.
This division is of a different character from the idea of the “labour aristocracy”, a wheezing old notion some leftists are too eager to rely on, so as to pretend that the working-class division does not run right down the middle of the old class. As Australian radical economist-sociologist Lisa Adkins and her floating band of collaborators/male back-up singers has established, reexamining class-by-asset rather than by older notions of specific productive capital and wage, gives a wholly different picture of the present. (Footage of Adkins, Bryant, Cooper and Konings working on class-by-asset can be seen here.)
Labor has made its choice in this new divide, going with the asset-holding class that dominates suburban marginal electorates at the expense of the “others” who currently have no-one else to vote for. The latter get crumbs from the table, as shown by Labor’s largely bogus offers on housing — and by the Greens’ (sorry (nasally voice) “Greens political party”) success in getting real action and money and the question of rent on the agenda.
Such a social redivision in Labor’s base means it can no longer be a party fusing together left class advancement and progressive social politics in the way it was for four decades — and in the manner in which various Labor grandees imagine it may one day be again. It is now wholly a national capitalist party, with no interior dissenting force of any size or social base. Its deep internal logic is towards integration with systems of power, and to be an enforcer of system discipline directed towards its own base, rather than as a representative of them.
But nor can it be constructed as a simple “betrayal” mode, as many of Labor’s more rusted, disenchanted supporters would like to portray it. These massive shifts within Labor that have become visible following the 2022 victory are not, or not primarily, the product of personal weakness or pliability in the leaders. The National Left has collapsed as a left (and so has the rival Socialist Left) because there is no longer a logic of opposition, organised around an alternative to the present, within Labor. It’s why the Industrial Left could not step into the space vacated by those groups, quite aside from the whacked-out “Tusk-era-Fleetwood-Mac-of-politics” mood that characterises its cross-union leadership.
To put it frankly, the federal parliamentary left of the Labor Party now consists of Josh Wilson, and not much anyone else. Those still committed to building an alternative within Labor should do so, if they can do no other. But one would suggest that mounting opposition solely within Labor on the old model of “bringing the party to its senses” will simply transform such dissidents into agents of the party’s repressive tolerance, and serve the cause of further integrating its monolithic commitment to the established order. Opposition will have to be unified inside and outside the party to have any chance of effectiveness.
Those who still love Labor for what it has been will have to ask themselves at what point there supersedes a loyalty to the deeper causes that underlie such commitment. The good news is that things change fast as regards war, alliance etc. The bad news is it could all be over in an afternoon.
The image of the mentally lightweight Marles dangling the carrot of “thousands of jobs” for the nuclear transition of Oz is galling.
Every billion dollars we fritter away on AUKUS makes us less safe. Our relationships with all geographic neighbours are currently sound & friendly. With China as our biggest trading partner the mood is cordial & workable. So why should Australians believe we are under threat?
The only threat comes from AUKUS.
Galling indeed. Is Labor stupid enough to swallow its won arguments or does it just assume the public is that stupid? It should be obvious that the purpose of defence spending is defence. If that incidentally results in jobs then that is a bonus, but it is completely mad to use creating jobs as the justification for defence spending. If Labor wants to create 20,000 jobs (or whatever) it should just do that, but leave the defence budget alone so it can be spent on genuine justified real defence. Not only would the jobs very likely be created at far less cost per job, we would have some chance of getting a realistic defence programme that meets our national security needs.
correction: … its
wonown arguments…You’re submarinating against the current by writing ‘defence’ instead of ‘defense’ as they do in the MSM. We’re the 52nd state, dontcha know?
Neoliberals have based their entire program on the assumption that the public is stupid, with a fair chunk of that program devoted to ensuring that assumption only becomes more correct.
Are they mistaken…?
Australians have been frightened of the “yellow peril” for 200 years. Maybe we just need to grow up as a nation instead of always needing an international (white) mummy figure.
One more exhibit in the mountain of evidence supporting Rundle’s thesis: Minister for Finance, Katy Gallagher, was on ABC RN Breakfast just this morning, openly praising the wisdom of Jennifer Westacott and her wonderful leadership of the BCA over the years. That’s Labor, that’s what it stands for. Oh yes, and the Stage Three tax cuts confirmed again. Might as well accept that if the Morrison Gang had not already dreamed up the Stage Three cuts, Labor would have done it anyway off its own bat.
There isn’t a bucket big enough to hold the vomit I want to spew.
Yep, Gallagher’s Westcott stanning is a pull out quote to hang round their necks, in light of the BCA’s relentless attack on all good things, as documented by BK
Wots”stanning“?
Even SpellCheck pings it.
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Stanning
We all have to make an effort to keep up, I spose.
It’s a neologism of American youths, a verb derived from the noun the Meriam Webster dictionary defines thus,
stan: slang, often disparaging : to exhibit fandom to an extreme or excessive degree : to be an extremely devoted and enthusiastic fan of someone or something.
I stanned pretty hard for Christina [Aguilera] as a teen; I remember begging my mom for tickets to the Justified/Stripped tour, and even from our nosebleed seats, Christina’s voice was stunning.—Alexandra Fiber
Pop fandom has historically been embodied by the screaming white girl. But the rise of queer men “stanning” for pop divas signals the growing power of fan perspectives outside the straight white norm.—Pier Dominguez
… she has even admitted that she stanned her beau’s music before they were romantically linked.—Hollywoodland
So glad that I did not know that. If only I could now forget it.
Yeah, cause having no clue what young people are talking about is a good thing.
Might as well listen to chooks at feeding time – they’d make more sense.
Especially when “Merriam Webster” is the choice of dictionary quoted . But I guess it’s supportive of the US’ position in our Oz’ affairs.
Of course they want the tax cuts, they will benefit big time while yhe rest of us may get a peanut, not a whole bag of them.
I’m devastated to have to agree with you. The more Albanese opens his mouth, the more I hear a Morriscum clone.
Labor has been an almighty disappointment to me and it’s leading me to swiching my vote to the Greens and decent Independents.
Albanese’s stubborn refusal to dump the Stage 3 tax cuts and pass the savings on to the poorest in the nation is absolutely appalling.
I have an increasingly vain hope that we don’t have another Liars government, but I know that’s what we’ve got.
Labor needs a nasty polling shock to set them on the right path, but it will only come with a Dutton victory. Gawd help us all.
Only with a Dutton victory? In a personal reversal of opinion that Independents would be one-hit/anti-ScoMo wonders, I now suspect they will not only get re-elected, but possibly increase in number. Either way the probability of them holding the balance in HoR’s is quite high, with your intended switch part of a broader phenomena.
But I doubt there is much change in Defence strategy likely to follow, as the electorate swallow whole the need for alliances with ‘great and powerful friends’.
Serious question, Jane. Just how much of your and your children’s and your grandchildren’s present and future does Labor have to piss up against a wall before you say “enough” and stop voting for them?
Surely the lesser evil is still evil?
I have never seen such a bad half-baked policy as a fleet of 2 nuclear submarines in 20 years time armed with conventional missiles to terrify the Chinese while sending us broke. What is Labor thinking? That is the way to electoral oblivion, not cancelling them.
There is a curious light at the end of the tunnel. Trump will return to the US presidency unless he is convicted of insurrection. He has promised to cancel our subs. That is about the only good thing that will happen.
The light is certainly no longer “on the hill”.
Agree
Labor are well into “Double-think” territory when they have the Prime Minister barking one day about the threat that (our major trading partner) China poses to out ongoing security necessitating spending every cent (that we earn from China) for the next 50 years on Nuclear Submarines…………….
………..and a few days later the Treasurer bemoaning the fact that our economy may be tipped into recession if the CHINESE ECONOMY SLOWS DOWN.
Perhaps they think that there are in fact TWO Chinas…………………………
Or perhaps they’ve given up on thinking at all.
Way too hard…………………
Two Chinas, who knew! That explains it.
Both headed up by a guy called Xi Jingping…………….
…………….now that is a truly spooky coincidence.
You’d have to laugh if it wasn’t so utterly stupid. Labor’s got their big chance to right the wrongs of the Scumster years, but we’re just getting more of the same ol’, same ol’ Liars merde.
Shorten would have been an infinitely better PM.
No. Shorten would have been exactly the same. He would have been a present day Labor party prime minister. He would have played nice with the powerful and the moneyed to stay in power for as long as he could before going through the revolving door post politics.
What Labor is thinking, I suspect, is “Don’t rock the boat so we can get reelected.”
There’s a pun in there somewhere, but I’m too disheartened to work it out.
Not so sure. Apparently the latest polls show Biden ahaed by 10 percentage points. We’ll see, I suppose but I don’t think the US and the rest of the world can survive another Trump preidency.
Glad to be reading your articles here again, Guy – I hope you’re well.
Marles and Albo are simply going to drive voters to Greens and Independents next time around, courtesy of their unapologetic support for conservative (hard right) policies. I’ll be off . .
After 45 years membership I have thought about it. If the Greens could do it without shooting themselves in the foot I would be there in a flash. I am trying to find the difference between the SCOMO LNP and the Albo/Marles ALP. They both lie and are unreliable. Can anybody help me out?
The Overton window in this country is a thin line, and if you zoom in far enough that other countries aren’t visible, you can make out that the Lying Nasty Party is on the other edge of the line from the Alternative Liberal Party.