One by one, they went down.
In May, Scott Morrison was on the end of a humiliating defeat that left his party a smoking ruin. But politics wasn’t done with the former prime minister. A book on his brilliant handling of the pandemic by News Corp hagiographers emerged soon afterwards, which revealed that his norm-breaking and relentless mendacity extended to secretly taking on the ministries of his colleagues and not telling them, Parliament or voters. What was intended as a vanity project led to him being censured and his own colleagues demanding he leave politics.
In July, Boris Johnson, another pathological liar, was forced out of office in the UK after yet another scandal under the prime ministership of the former journalist and panel show regular. When his immediate successor, Liz Truss, blew up within weeks, Johnson momentarily believed his Churchillian wilderness was coming to a close until, unusually, reality dawned that his return was simply not feasible without turning UK politics from a laughing stock into a full-blown circus.
And in November, the widely touted “red wave” failed to materialise in the US midterms, with the Democrats turning in the best performance in decades. The GOP managed a tiny majority in the House but went backwards in the Senate. Election deniers, conspiracy theorists, extremists, violence advocates and candidates backed by former president Donald Trump were notable in their failures. Republicans and their media outlets began openly talking about what a loser Trump really is, even as he announced his 2024 candidacy to a bored, trapped audience. Soon he was inviting blatant anti-Semites to dine with him, alienating even ardent supporters.
Trump remains the favourite for the Republican nomination, and the main alternative is a more urbane version of him in Ron DeSantis, who is every bit as autocratic, right-wing and racist as the original version, but far more presentable. But the Republicans’ failure and rebuke of anti-democratic candidates, and the failure of Brazil’s former president Jair Bolsonaro to be reelected, confirmed that 2022 was characterised by the failure of the politics of deception, division and extremism.
Winds of change?
Is this a new era of politics, or just a reversion to the status quo ante? Politics is not kinder and gentler; extremism, calls to violence, conspiracy theorising, racism and misogyny have been rebuked. Institutions that are supposed to protect democracy, like major political parties, parliaments and independent bodies such as election authorities have — despite the best efforts of people like Morrison, Johnson and Trump — worked, albeit imperfectly.
Sometimes they’ve worked because people have had to muster the courage to do their jobs: election workers in the US facing relentless intimidation from right-wingers and Trump supporters, often armed, or Liz Cheney, who has made it her mission to rid her party of Trump and ended up losing her seat despite her Republican royalty credentials.
There are elements of a new era. Here, community independents, the product of genuine grassroots political engagement, took a swathe of heartland seats from the Liberals. If the circumstances of the rise of the teals were mostly related to the disaffection bred by Morrison’s rotten tenure as prime minister, his departure doesn’t guarantee such seats will return to the Liberals — certainly not while the federal Coalition remains wedded to climate denialism, hostility to integrity and accountability, culture wars and punching downwards.
In the Albanese government we have a much more interventionist regime prepared to use the levers of power to deliver its agenda: reversing the atomisation of the workforce; ending the decades-long starving of aged care funding; improving access to childcare; adopting a functional energy policy intended to accelerate decarbonisation.
In the US, the Inflation Reduction Act and the CHIPS and Science Act similarly mark a significant ramping up of interventionism by the federal government. These are massive initiatives fusing climate policy, industry policy and foreign policy, aimed at ensuring US control of high-tech supply chains and crippling China’s high-tech sector while accelerating investment in renewables.
It’s confirmation that the direction, at least for now, of global trade is negative — the West wants to onshore, take back control of supply chains, undermine China and lock Russia into permanent economic decline until it abandons its imperialist aggression.
Will neoliberalism never die?
When the UK’s Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng’s embrace of neoliberal myths about trickledown economics and growth via tax cuts dissolved into disaster — with financial markets the first to stampede for the exits — it seemed neoliberalism, crippled by the pandemic, was on its deathbed.
But the forces that enabled neoliberalism, in its late-style form — extensive state capture of governments by corporate interests, a media dedicated to serving vested interests, and oligopolistic markets that stifle innovation, investment and growth — remain embedded.
Fossil fuel companies and their union handmaidens continue to veto the phase-out of coal and gas exports here; the gambling industry continues to enable widespread crime with relative impunity; no amount of cost blowouts and delays can apparently prevent ever more money being poured into the pockets of defence contractors. And the mechanisms of state capture at the federal level — poor donation disclosure laws, little or no lobbying regulation, a near-total lack of transparency of the activities of ministers — are still intact under the new government.
That’s related to the persistence of the forces that enabled politicians like Trump, Johnson and Morrison. They were helped by the alienation of voters from political systems deemed to serve vested interests rather than the public interest (ironic because all three primarily served vested interests when in power) and an economic system that delivered income stagnation at best and ever-growing corporate power at the expense of working households.
All three were undone by the pandemic, which required genuine government leadership, of which none of them was capable, and voter demands for a level of government activity that was beyond their understanding and the political campaign strategies they deployed.
That the parliamentary year in Australia ended with the Albanese government pushing through a raft of key legislation — the NACC, industrial relations reform, restoring territory rights — was entirely apt.
Under Morrison, Parliament had often sat virtually idle due to a dearth of any meaningful agenda; under Albanese, the place is busy with reform. Politics no longer feels like a poorly written farce; instead it feels normal, like adults are in charge, a feeling experienced only once in recent years, under Malcolm Turnbull, and all too briefly even then.
But as central banks continue to punish low-income earners around the world for the actions of Russian President Vladimir Putin, energy companies and powerful corporate oligopolies push inflation up in the quest for profits, and the possibility of recession looms large in major economies, the forces that delivered alienation and disaffection from politics could return with a rush, along with their toxic consequences.
Whether 2022 marks an end or just a pause remains to be seen.
It is a long bow to say that the ultra-truthless scum are done with, but there is hope. I just continue to be amazed at how Johnson and Trump ever achieved office. It was certainly a major fail of the fourth estate. When we think of Liz Cheney as a paragon of centrist rectitude… I am not knocking her really but Dick was a crook in my view and a long way from what the GOP should be. Unfortunaltely the right in both the UK and the USA as well as here has become completely venal and corrupt along with their media toadies and boosters.
How Johnson and Trump ever achieved office? The regular way in old English colonies .. via an undemocratic election system. Cannot happen in New Zealand, for example.
Don’t forget we elected Morrison not so long ago, despite his many faults being already obvious. The electorate preferred scare and lies to a decent set of policies. The media was complicit. But the voters have to take responsibility
Morrison’s CV was well known off the MSM , his double tourism sacking, his lies etc about gaining his preselection and his illegal Robodebt ( a strange piece of Neighbour loving for a supposed Christian)
And speaking of the fourth estate’s failures, there’s Abbott.
The common thread is a certain RW media that is active in UK, USA, and Aus
Not just a “thread”, but a Driving Force.
It didn’t do them much good in the recent Victorian election.
Yes, gratifying. they did try though, for the length of Andrews’ term as Premier. Fingers crossed they have gone over the top and will be ignored in future.
The right wing media should not be dismissed. The results in regional and northern Victoria is something that resonates throughout eastern Australia. The response of the right wing mainstream media to the Weiambilla shootings has been extreme. They tried to push the meme of the mild-mannered school principal driven to extremes by vax mandates and border controls thereby dismissing their own noxious influence on fanning extremism and a pro-gun stance. Northern Victoria delivered a One Nation candidate to the upper house and the vile and incoherent Pauline Hanson(she mangled the name of the former Liberal leader again reinforcing her contempt for and lack of bother for getting things right) who had once declared the Port Arthur massacre as a hoax was there to watch her candidate be installed. There should be no smug complacency about the potential for more extremism being generated by that quarter and the media that support
I agree with you. The idea that recent election losses shows the RW media is having no effect is naive and unrealistic. It is, for example, still driving Labor to the right, so when Labor wins at state or federal level it does so with far less to offer and is scared to implement substantial policies on the environment, tax and so on. Albanese’s government is being hailed as a huge success so far, but objectively it has been very cautious indeed. The measures it has passed have been carefully limited, out of fear of the RW media as much as anything.
The common thread is UK, USA, Aus, where Murdochmedia seems to have far too much influence.
Murdoch’s influence appears to have greatly declined. LNP devastated in WA, Vic, SA and Federally
Same elements also pop up in odd places like e.g. Hungary; popular with Australian conservative grifters.
And, ‘fossil fueled’ Koch ‘Donors’ Network’ of US and global think tanks e.g. locally IPA, and another network tugging on same donors in US, the Tanton Network which views post 1970s immigration and/or population growth as a pseudo environmental issue greenwashing ‘the great replacement’, promoted by FoxNews, GOP etc..
There is much synchronicity between networks, themes and desired outcomes i.e. keeping liberal centrists out of power and influence permanently, with antipathy towards liberal democracy, open society and empowered citizens a la EU Brexit, Ukraine Putin etc..
It’s a pause. We need a reset and that’s not going to happen without a radical change to the status quo. The current government, whilst a major step up from the last one (albeit coming from an extremely low bar) is still just tinkering at the edges and thusfar not moving away from neoliberalism. The powerful are not going to give up their cushy positions without a fight. War, major climate catastrophies and/or global civil uprisings are very much on the cards in the next decade to get to this reset.
I agree it is too close to call an end of neo-liberalism (narrow margins one way or another get overly celebrated). Safer to say it has passed its zenith as expectations are raised for governments to do, not just more things, but to do them better, with a renewed understanding that market forces need moderation here and there.
That many corporations and industry groups see this more clearly than the old head-kickers of the L&NP must concern the Archers, Birminghams and Turnbulls of the desiccated centre. Old time conservatism might be dust, but new reactionaries are potentially more dangerous. Definite case of beware what you wish for….
As conservative parties shift more and more to the right we should be asking what attractions those parties have to the average citizen. Supporting excessive profits and price gouging, contracts to friends with no accountability and the possibility of kickbacks, a refusal to address integrity issues, anti-women bias, bank branch closures to name a few issues leave one asking why would anybody other than those raking in the dough see any reason to vote for them.
In the absence of change which is not on the horizon I think we are looking at the death of neoliberalism.
People vote for them out of ignorance and tradition. And brainwashing from birth. So presumably 33&1/3% of people will always vote for them. But there is hope – WA showed that people see the light eventually. It just takes a near-death experience.