AUKUS could become a gold mine for US venture capitalists — just ask the founders of a new business network set up to take advantage of the deal.
While pillar one of the US-Australia-UK defence pact — the transfer of nuclear-driven submarines to Australia — has received the most attention in Australian media, it’s the second pillar that’s most interesting to US private investors.
A new group called AUKUS Defense Investor Network, launched in December, brings together hundreds of private venture capitalists from all three AUKUS countries and claims to represent more than $400 billion in funds.
The Silicon Valley-based chair of the US arm of the network, Heather Jo Richman, listed the opportunities for US investors that have become available thanks to the defence deal in a podcast appearance earlier this week.
“Australia has some very key rare earth materials and metals that are very key to our defence industry,” Richman told the US-based Daily Scoop Podcast.
“There are some Australian investors looking at the mining, the harvesting of those materials. And I think there are some really ripe opportunities, actually, for investors in the United States to get involved. The size of our venture community here in the US is orders of magnitude larger than in either the other two countries [in AUKUS].
“I think having access to our US defence industry … I think can only be helpful and really expedite how quickly we can get some of these materials into the hands of the warfighters.”
The chairs of the network are all linked to BMNT, a US-founded defence business that describes itself as “an innovation company that uses startup methods” to “change the way Silicon Valley and the [US] Department of Defense work together”.
Jamie Watson, the chair of the Australian arm of the network and the chief executive of BMNT Australia, is described on the firm’s website as an operator and researcher with 30 years of experience working with Australia’s Defence Department. He was contacted for comment by Crikey but did not respond before deadline.
In April 2022, the White House briefed reporters on the eight priority research areas that the pact partners hoped would be advanced through AUKUS: undersea capabilities, quantum technologies, artificial intelligence, advanced cyber capabilities, hypersonic capabilities, electronic warfare, innovation and information sharing.
Several of these were highlighted by Richman as interesting to US investors.
“AI is at the tip of everyone’s tongue right now, many experts have said whoever harnesses AI is going to win … Cyber is another one, quantum is another one that’s definitely going to be a longer-term investment,” she said.
“The dollars being put into quantum right now are astronomical, there’s amazing quantum coming out of Australia and the UK. So I think it’s to our benefit for us to be having those conversations with those investors that are seeing the landscape in those other countries as well.”
A PwC report released in 2022, in collaboration with the American and British chambers of commerce in Australia, said Australia comprised 4% of total defence expenditure across the AUKUS nations.
The report said Australian investors would have access to “significantly larger markets” thanks to AUKUS, but added there was a risk most of the benefits would flow to the seven major multinational defence companies: BAE Systems, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Rheinmetall and Thales.
“A lack of certainty is particularly insidious for [small-to-medium enterprises], where (unlike the defence ‘primes’: the seven multinational defence companies) defence contracts often represent only a small proportion of their commercial output,” the report said.
“As and when advanced technologies such as AI and quantum computing become more prominent in defence budgets, the issue of providing greater certainty to SMEs in the manufacturing schedule will likely grow in importance.”
United States Studies Centre research associate Sophie Mayo said AUKUS-linked reforms in US export controls, known as International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), would allow Australian investors to benefit from the pact.
“Not all three economies are the same size, but now that we have ITAR reform there are removed barriers to investment in sensitive technology, which will advantage those companies who develop the best tech irrespective of which country they are in,” she told Crikey.
“We will likely see greater US investment into Australian defence companies and greater opportunities for manufacturing and production to occur in Australia too. A good example is the announcement this week that Lockheed Martin will produce long range missiles for the army in Australia.”
She also pointed to two Australian start-ups — The Whisky Project Group and Hypersonix Launch Systems — that had received contracts from a US defence program known as the Defence Innovation Accelerator.
“These are two examples of Australian start-ups backed by Australian investors, developing AUKUS pillar two-adjacent advanced capabilities who have been awarded contracts by the US government.”
A bill to loosen trade restrictions between AUKUS partners was introduced to the Australian Parliament before Christmas and will go through a committee before being voted on.
Some Australian researchers have complained the updated restrictions might have a chilling effect on trade and collaboration with countries outside the trilateral pact.
Will Australian companies actually benefit from AUKUS? Or will the money just flow straight into the pockets of multinational weapons manufacturers? Let us know your thoughts by writing to letters@crikey.com.au. Please include your full name to be considered for publication. We reserve the right to edit for length and clarity.
I am very disappointed that as far as Crikey is concerned, the main issue is whether or not Australian companies will actually benefit from this quasi military pact, AUKUS or will the profits flow elsewhere.
Will Australian companies actually benefit from AUKUS? Or will the money just flow straight into the pockets of multinational weapons manufacturers?
is the question posed at the end of this article.
I would have thought that the main concern (especially from any progressive organization) should arise from the fact that once again the military/industrial complex is seeking to profit from war.
With the absolutely devastating potential of the weapons available today we should be retiring the “War of good for profits” mentality in favor of a more peaceful future.
Agree. Whether any Oz entrepreneurs get to cash in around the margins of AUKUS is a second- or third-order question compared to the main issues here:
a) that we give up all pretense of any independent defence policy and officially become a pawn in the US war machine.
b) AUKUS will be an obscene transfer of wealth from the Australian public to the US military industrial complex on an unprecedented scale.
Spot on Andrew!!
I hope that our posts give the ‘movers and shakers’ here at Crikey something to think about.
Your comments get to the nub of this issue better than mine.
Interesting point Robert, but I reckon it’s worth considering all kinds of impacts of this deal, including what it will mean to commercial interests.
Thank you for taking the time to read my comment and for your reply Anton.
Let me assure you that I am trying to consider “all kinds of impacts of this deal”. I am not a scholar of the American military-industrial complex (MIC) but I would suggest (as Jeffrey D. Sachs does in an article reprinted in John Menadue’s Pearls and Irritations dated Jan 17th 2024, that the MIC is “always pushing for war”. The reason for that is obvious, – “War is good for profits”.
I would include a link for this article, but by doing so, the risk of this post being held up “Awaiting approval” is increased.
I do not want my country to be involved in this war-mongering enterprise.
With respect Anton, your above report reads like a promotional brochure put out for potential investors by, for example, those companies you mention. When I put myself into the shoes of your all-too-typical amoral and unethical capitalist investor, reading your report causes me to start salivating and shaking with expectations. You fail entirely to address the fact that Australia is aligning itself with the American warmongers. The outcome of this ‘strategy’ could be disastrous for this country. I have seen enough completely avoidable war and suffering in my lifetime Anton, I do not want to see any more, no matter how much money some people are likely to make from it.
Citing Sachs (Rockefeller Foundation linked) does not help your argument, when he has a blind spot on Putin’s aggression and invasion of Ukraine i.e. ‘war-mongering’. Like Mearsheimer (Charles Koch & Putin’s Valdai Club) and too many other faux geopolitical experts and anti-imperialists, linked to fossil fuel and anti-EU oligarchs.
See Pekka K’s research tracking Sachs on Russia etc. https://vatniksoup.com/en/soups/166
Also a critical letter from Berkeley academic personnel ‘Open letter to Jeffrey Sachs on the Russia-Ukraine war’ (20 March 2023):
‘We are a group of economists, including many Ukrainians, who were appalled by your statements on the Russian war against Ukraine and were compelled to write this open letter to address some of the historical misrepresentations and logical fallacies in your line of argument’
If it’s worth considering all kinds of impacts, perhaps including a few words like, ‘aside from the devastating impact this degree of military expenditure will have on our social services in the coming decades, blah blah corporate feeding frenzy blah blah’…
Australia bends over and touches its toes, again.
It happens every time Entropy. It is sickening. Quite frankly, I want no part of it.
I think our wrists are permanently shackled to our ankles.
So we’re going to manufacture long range missiles here for the US Army, are we? How lovely! Can’t have enough targets painted on our backs to oblige our friends, can we? So long as Australian companies get their slice of the pie, too- that’s all that matters, isn’t it?
“So long as Australian companies get their slice of the pie, too- that’s all that matters, isn’t it?”
Sadly Kathy, in this modern day and age of economic rationalism where all that counts is profit, it seems that your question must be answered in the affirmative. However, any understanding of human nature and history would suggest that the outcome will not be a happy one (for anyone).
Nah, all they really want is the raw materials cheap and sell us very expensive stuff like subs and fighters. They’ll pay lip service to our gullible libs and lib lites about manufacturing, maybe even buy a few bushmasters, but in the end they don’t give toss.
New Zealand as a home is looking better every day.
Earthquakes notwithstanding, Billy. I know what you mean!
Unfortunately, not quite as shiny today as it did when Jacinda was at the helm.
Fascinating to to be seeing, from the inside, how our own country is being so insidiously colonised by Big Corporation, in real time.
Big Money moved in a long time ago. They’ve colonised, not like an apex predator, but like a feral animal infestation. The cane toads of capitalism.
I think the cancer of greed might be the best metaphor… It seeks to metastasise itself via the corporate media and filthy hacks like Dutton and Howard.
Not to mention a zillion shady think tanks
And fink yanks.
One benefit to Australia in the event of a Trump win is that we no longer need to spend on unnecessary nuclear subs but could focus on the smaller, cheaper and more effective Swedish Gotland subs which has shown its superiority in war games recently when one sank the Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier and retreated without being detected.
I think you’re missing the main point. Come any military conflagration and among the first targets to be taken out will be the very slow moving, impossible to hide (no matter what they will try to tell you) submarines. Thousand dollar drones already take million dollar tanks as Ukraine takes great delight in showing the world on YouTube. Drones of the future will easily take out any sub lurking about, maybe they already can…