Now that Lenore Taylor has left, David Uren is one of the few journalists remaining at The Oz with credibility and analytical heft, and he was on the money this morning when he saw that Glenn Stevens yesterday had been somewhat less subtle than previously on the issue of debt’n’deficits.
While the RBA wouldn’t have been happy with the partisan headline ‘Reserve backs Labor on debt’, Uren was dead right: Stevens’ statement that Australia’s finances are in “terrific shape” further undermines the Opposition’s repeated attempts to play up the issue, both with a coherent insistence that the budget deficit is too high, from Joe Hockey, and Barnaby Joyce’s somewhat less coherent insistence that Australia was in danger of defaulting.
Bear in mind that this is the only economic policy we’ve got from the Opposition: slash government spending because debt is dangerously high due to too much stimulus spending.
Stevens, who was speaking yesterday at an ASIC conference, went further than noting “government finances are in terrific shape” and that Government debt would peak at 10% of GDP (that’s the figure from the November forecasts – what’s the bet it’ll be lower in May). He went on to note how exceptional Australia was internationally, in part because we “didn’t have to do very unconventional monetary and fiscal measures — the regular measures, applied liberally, worked — worked a treat actually.” Expect those words to pop up in Government doorstops and Question Time answers in coming weeks.
This was the least subtle Stevens has been on the deficit issue so far. He resisted efforts to get him to discuss Joyce at the recent House of Representatives Economics Committee hearing (where, incidentally, Jamie Briggs was the only Coalition MP to pursue an interesting and genuine public interest line of questioning), but Stevens referred to default by saying “there are few things less likely”. He had also taken to putting caveats into his speeches warning that comments about international issues shouldn’t be construed as comments on domestic monetary policy, as the Opposition was doing.
No Opposition has ever been so demonstrably at odds with the Reserve Bank on critical issues of policy, not since the RBA’s legislated independence anyway. Oppositions are always inclined to play politics with interest rate settings, but that’s an altogether different matter from the RBA Governor — whom the Coalition can’t attack in the same way as they attack Ken Henry as partisan — endorsing the Government on the only economic policy position the Opposition has.
If it was a Labor Opposition being implicitly rebuked by the RBA, you can bet we’d never hear the end of it, and its implications for economic competence from the media, especially if they were running around with a leader who admits he has no interest in economics and a dill of a finance spokesman.
Dr Harvey M Tarvydas
Well said BK.
The RBA Governor is actually very serious and hardworking at being beyond a public servant and dedicated to applying his wit and expertise to better Australia to the max.
The current political opposition leadership really don’t care about anything other that to spin themselves to the ratings top whatever it takes, lies, deceit, destruction of anything, damage anything with a clear mandate from media think and feel-a-likes who have been granted strength.
Such could only be designed with one target in mind and the knowledge that ‘repeat it at infinitum’ even if that makes you look recalcitrant and stupid is power over this target.
The target being the least aware, the least knowledgeable, the least resistant, the most easily influenced to self doubt and / or the most in denial poor little Australians whom are estimated to be a large mass to be swept up into their boat to vote.
The Rhodes Scholar who sees Aussies this way and regards them as so dispensable I hope will get the real shock he deserves.
Lenore Taylor left the Oz? When? Why?
This is the sort of stuff I expect to read in Crikey!!
Says it all really Bernard!
This was a letter in the SMH in July ’09. Nobody has queried the info to date.
LIBERALS BROKE DEBT RECORDS
“Before a desperate Malcolm Turnbull starts driving his new Liberal Party debt truck, he should own up about the last one.(Politicians hit the road with a truckload of rhetoric. July 8).
When John Howard launched it while campaigning for election in 1996, he said nothing better symbolised the failure of Labor’s exonomic management than the fact that Australia”owed the rest of the world $180 billion” in net foreign debt. When the Liberals lost office in 2007, Australia “owed the world” $550 Billion. In 1996, the total national debt was $700 billion. By 2007 it had grown to $3.2 TRILLION. The Liberal Party’s real record on debt is appalling”
Name supplied!
I wish someone would put this to Barnaby Joyce and Joe Hockey! I’d be interested in their response! Facts don’t lie!
Oh dear, with this sort of news, which is the next Rudd minister “responsible for what heinous crime”?
Gillard for what she’s been doing to school children?
Elliott for what she’s been doing to old people?
Conroy for his “sexual assault” job on communications?
Smith for his list of “foreign affairs”?
Tanner for the way he’s treated “fine ants”?
Ludwig for the way he’s been “servicing” humans?
Plibersek for her obscene “statues of women”?
Or Burke for what he’s been doing to farm animals?
It won’t take long for the coalition’s economic ‘straw-clutching’ will become more and more apparent.
It is just a question of when the MSM decides it is continually betting on the tailed-off nag and starts reporting actual events rather than supposition.
I had credited Murdoch and his ilk with more sense than to pour so much time and effort into an insubstantial and unsellable product, but there you go.
If you turn your back on the traffic you’re likely to get knocked over … both the media and the coalition appear to be operating in an alternate reality right now — the truck will bear down soon and they won’t even be watching for it.