It’s aliiiiive! Like Godzilla emerging from the irradiated seas of Japan, the Trans-Pacific Partnership has re-emerged, with 11 of the 12 original negotiating nations signing up, just a few hours ago.
Pretty good, huh? Well except that the twelfth nation is the US, who withdrew from the agreement in the early weeks of the Trump administration. Trump said he would throughout his entire election campaign, slating TPP as a bad deal, similar to NAFTA, which he alleges decimated US manufacturing.
Trump stalled for a couple of weeks on TPP when he moved into the Oval Office, as mainstream Republicans, neoliberals and neocons lobbied furiously for him to adopt it. For good reason; the TPP represents a vast extension of American corporate power, giving them the opportunity to reach into, and dominate smaller, less developed economies, and their politics.
That was the point of the TPP of course; its intent was political, not economic, creating a cross-pacific bloc oriented to the US, and pointedly excluding China. Had Hillary Clinton won, Barack Obama would have tried to, and probably succeeded, in whipping it through the “lame-duck” Congress. Clinton would then have made a few quibbling modifications, but ratified it.
Without the US, the TPP is a less threatening beast, but a beast it remains. Though some 20 provisions that the US had insisted on have been stripped out — stuff that would have permitted stifling US enforcement of ludicrous intellectual property statutes, and the “Disney” provision, extending copyright to 70 years after death across the world — it retains two core anti-democratic mechanisms. The first is the “state-owned enterprises” provision, which allows corporations to take action if public enterprises present “unfair competition” to outside corporations. The effect is to penalise a democratic state, if it decides to subsidise key industries or utilities, at the behest of the people.
Related to that is the investor state dispute settlement (ISDS) principle, which allows for international tribunals to decide whether government policies have caused treaty-breaching economic damages to a corporation, and order the state in question to pay compensation. That is pure financial imperialism on dependent states, and it was removed from the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), the sibling agreement that was to be signed between the US and the EU. The ISDS remains in the non-US TPP.
And, like Godzilla, the 20-plus “removed” provisions remain in the appendix, dormant on the sea bed, ready to be revived. That said, without the US, Australia’s chance of coming off worse is greatly diminished. Not wholly; Trudeau, J.’s government in Canada revived the TPP — lets face it, Australian Trade Minister Steve Ciobo couldn’t revive a burrito in a microwave, let alone a global trade deal — and it reflects their late Blairite “progressive” globalism. Just as the US version sought to exclude China, now Canada, Mexico and Japan are excluding the US, at its own invitation. Amazingly, the Trump boosters on the right never refer to this, Trump’s sole decisive and effective act of his presidency.
The fight is still on, of course. Labor, split between globalists and nationalists/populists, will have a hell of a time. But Bill Shorten should take the latter route, and urge caution, and reserve the right to renegotiate our participation, based on the jewel in the crown: the pharmaceutical benefits scheme. The US-inclusive TPP was aimed squarely at the PBS, which US Big Pharma loathes — because it is the most successful drug price control scheme in the world. Next time you feel like kvetching about Hillary’s treatment by the media, remember she would be happy for your treatment to cost $150/$300/$500 per script, not $30/$8/zero. (but her emails!).
There’s a lot else worth fighting for against these deals: on culture, public enterprises, etc. But the PBS is something Australians would die in a ditch for, and the wanton rapidity with which the Coalition has signed us up to free trade deals is in need of examination and a counter-story. Easy enough for the Greens, but Shorten will have to have an internal stoush if he wants to do that. And all the while, in the radioactive mud of neoliberal globalisation, fresh monsters wake and stir.
Excellent analysis. Thanks, Guy.
All these “benefits and no down side”?
From the party that brought you “Labor’s negative gearing policy will ruin the Oz economy and decimate family home values”?
…. Pass me my medication – before it’s affordabilty goes through the roof.
I’ve already lost an i.
Never mind, you gained an apostrophe.
And gained a rogue apostrophe.
I’m currently reading ‘Alt America’ by David Neiwert. According to the author, NAFTA didn’t decimate American manufacturing. Manufacturing plants didn’t get shifted to Mexico. They went to countries such as China. And because México had to remove tariffs on imported American corn, millions of Mexican corn farmers were unable to compete and were forced to migrate to America and accept low paying low skill jobs native Americans weren’t willing to do. So México actually lost out on the deal.
Wayne Robinson
“Europe has done it” Untrue
The EU is essentially a very protectionist trade group.
French and German agriculture in particular are protected by high tariffs.
One consequence is that African farmers are burdened with cheap imports from the EU and a high tariffs when exporting to the EU.
I was salivating with the expectation that someone would criticise the various trade policies of the EU and the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP); indeed include the Fisheries Policy for that matter of the EU. The CAP has been under “reform” for sixty odd years with no material benefit to either the consumers or the taxpayers. The French farmers receive revenue independently of production. Ski instructors (or anything tourist-related) doesn’t quality.
Almost ALL of the farms in Europe are too small to be viable on account of utterly stupid conventions regarding inheritance until the end of WWII. By comparison the farm went (only) to the eldest son in England. The other sons sought careers in either the Church (Anglican naturally) or the Foreign Office (or failing that the Colonial Office – do you see : England really did NEED an Empire ) or (lower down) the armed services (preferably Navy then the Army and – if one must – the Air force). If all else failed then a “Planter” – read colonial farmer – in the Indies (e.g. Rubber, Coffee, Tea, balsa, teak etc.) was an option . Failing that : immigration!
Peering into my crystal ball if the Right acquire government in the Netherlands and in the Czech Republic then the only members comprising the EU will be the usual suspects, low productivity southern Europe and the former soviet countries; in other words “it” will be over.
So bleak Kyle. Even if the Right won government, there’s no way Holland will leave the EU?
And ‘it’? You mean life as we know ‘it’, or some other mythical ‘it’?
You have expressed a contrary opinion and that is just fine. Time will tell. However, the last time that I was in the region, which wasn’t such a long time ago, the Dutch were not happy about propping up all and sundry [my expression] around Germany, France & Spain. As an aside I met a number of Turks, a month or so hence, who didn’t think Membership was such a good idea after all.
“And ‘it’? You mean life as we know ‘it'”
Oh no Bref – there will be life after the EU (and probably superior life) after the EU. Ditto for a spat with N. Korea or an Arab state and Iran.
The pronoun merely represents the EU. My thanks also to AR for (checking? and) confirming that I intended emigration but, of course, immigration from the perspective of the new host country. Lastly, the comment was intended as general; I clicked in the wrong place – but the correct place this time around.
I too have a lot of dealings in Holland and surrounds and I agree there’s much disquiet and argument over the EU. But as with Britain, its mostly about Brussels’ interference in law and red tape. Rather than breaking apart and closing borders, I think it much more likely their system will evolve into something they can all live with. I find in general their politicians and governments are much more willing to experiment with new ways of doing compared with our stodgy, stuck in the past pollies. You’re probably correct though in that there will be a lot of upheaval before they arrive there.
I presume that you meant “emigration” – assuming that you do know the difference?
Petera,
Why the comment addressed to me? I commented once as a sort of book review ‘justified’ by the mention of NAFTA.
While we might argue over the particulars of a TPP. The fact is that as the world gets smaller so trade will inevitably become more and more open. Its a bit like renewable energy or climate change or electric cars, we can rail against it all we like, but its going to happen regardless so we may as well manage it as best we can.
Currently it only takes 20+ hours to travel anywhere in the world, in my childrens’ lifetime I expect this will reduce to one hour. I fervently hope that future trade partnerships will also lead to more open borders. Europe has done it and we have it with New Zealand, why shouldn’t we expand our open borders to England, Europe, Canada and maybe the US (or maybe not the US).
Yes to trade. No to trading away our right to elect governments who run public enterprises for the public good, and regulate business activities. Fair nuff?
Couldn’t agree with you more.
These ‘free trade’ agreements do not promote more open trade, Bref. Quite often the opposite. Devil in the detail. Guy has highlighted a few of the worst aspects of this agreement, but all the others need to be closely examined.
A personal gripe has been the formal change in the spelling of our medications in Australia (so that we lose the spelling that is part of the heritage of our English language to be replaced by the American’s version) in preparation for the Big Pharma imposed changes that were part of the Trade Agreement.
I dont actually disagree too much with anyone here. We know that things will change over the years no matter what happens and we know that none of it will ever be perfect. Its just that we have to start somewhere.
Bref
You say Q; “Europe has done it and we have it with New Zealand, why shouldn’t we expand our open borders to England, Europe, Canada and maybe the US”
Yes, Europe has done it and look at the result. (You wont find it in the MSM) Why not add Afghanistan, Pakistan, and all the other basket cases in North Africa?
The investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) provisions are a crime against the Australian people. There have been enough examples of that in the world to guarantee extreme caution but these fools appear to have signed the deal.
As with several of my close friends I can see you’re a glass half empty kind of guy Jimbo. I’m the glass half full kind of person. I hope that even with all the flaws of our systems we can manage to move forward toward a better world. We have to start somewhere.
Lol. Pure unadulterated delusion.
Meanwhile in the real world Europe is seeing the reemergence of the far right getting into their Parliaments and borders are going back up all over Europe.
But yeah dude. Keep living that fantasy
Dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb!
Just how much damage can these fools do before they are kicked out of office?
Enough that the incoming fools (to be kind, knaves to be accurate) can just carry on seamlessly, as per their riding orders.
Only their silk is different, same shit, different buckets.
Have the other mob signed any ‘free’ trade deals?
Yep
All relevant, and all good, I don’t care who signs them, they are dumb, dumb, dumb, dumb dumb.