Annastacia Palaszczuk’s victory on Saturday, complete with a 4.8% swing to Labor, is about a lot more than the power of incumbency at a time of crisis.
Palaszczuk wasn’t just up against the Liberal National Party (LNP) in Queensland, plus the Greens attacking Labor from the left. She was also against the Morrison government (working in concert with her opponent), against the NSW government (admittedly, not a particularly potent force given how mired in sleaze and scandal it is), and against Clive Palmer’s anti-Labor advertising campaign centred around a lie about death taxes (which is estimated to have cost the mining millionaire $8 million in addition to the millions he gave to his party).
This is in addition to the usual campaigning by News Corp, with The Courier-Mail predicting a tight battle that wouldn’t produce a winner on the night — itself apparently an “indictment” of Palaszczuk — and calling for an LNP win.
Picking up a swing of that size for a two-term government is, given that context, a very impressive achievement.
It also means that between 1989 and 2024, the LNP in its various forms will have been in office for less than six years in Queensland. It’s a richly deserved fate for the party of rank corruption in the Joh years; a party that has spent much of the last 20 years pandering to Pauline Hanson and One Nation — which suffered a halving of its vote.
That’s a remarkable turnaround in the space of 18 months. One Nation upped its vote to 9% in the House and 10% in the Senate in Queensland at the 2019 federal election. And Clive Palmer’s ego vehicle vanished without a trace after managing 3% in 2019 federally.
On the face of it, around two-thirds of that lost Hanson vote went to Labor, while the other third ended up with the LNP.
That suggests that a pandemic election is not so much about the alleged advantage of incumbency; it’s more about voters, faced with a major crisis that involves potentially widespread death and illness, losing interest in the politics of racism, resentment and hate that are the staple of Hanson and her ilk. Palmer’s Trumpesque cavorting is equally as uninteresting. Queenslanders looked to see who can govern most competently, which means returning to the major parties.
In Queensland that’s defaulted to the issue of border closures, with Palaszczuk’s hard line against reopening apparently embraced by the electorate. The Courier-Mail’s editorial demanding the removal of Palaszczuk specifically warned of baby boomer voters “swarming to Labor en masse”, presumably forgetting that baby boomers are pretty much the only people who read rags like The Courier-Mail anymore.
Others are dismissing the result as Palaszczuk successfully appealing to a “parochial” and “populist” electorate. The likes of The Australian Financial Review, of course, are always welcome to go and find a better electorate more amenable to its agenda, but until then neoliberal advocates for open borders, no lockdowns and letting the virus rip will find themselves on the wrong side of an electorate deeply unconvinced by the argument that lives must be risked in order to benefit the economy.
Throwing “parochial” and “populist” at voters won’t change their views about who the real beneficiaries of opening borders will be — not them, but corporations and business.
The result isn’t just some provincial eccentricity of Queenslanders. It reflects how voters view the workings of the economy at a time of crisis.
What does Annastacia Palaszczuk’s victory mean for the rest of Australia? Let us know your thoughts by writing to letters@crikey.com.au. Please include your full name to be considered for publication in Crikey’s Your Say column.
Trust probably influenced this outcome. Premier Palaszczuk comes across as being her own person with a robust moral compass, and when she promises to govern in the interests of Queenslanders she is believed. As Bernard has reminded us, the LNP has unfortunately and rather obviously relapsed to being a front for its wealthy donors and power brokers. Until that changes, the LNP is unlikely to be entrusted with government.
This result was unsurprising. I knew it wasn’t a tight contest. When Newman won people were really mad at the Bligh government. The party of Joh can’t win Queensland unless the ALP do so badly Brisbane and SE QLD forget the LNP are the Mafia party for bribe taking.
You could tell this wasn’t the case by putting pants on and talking to people in Queensland. Stop believing everything the News Corp papers tell you.
Maybe we can stop talking about Palmer like he matters still, while we’re at it?
Whenever the yellow billboards that start with “Clive says …” are seen you know that whatever is next will be a message from Planet Palmer rather than the real world.
My partner and I were discussing Clive’s election spend compared to votes gained – and decided that he would have done better if he had simply offered people $10,000 each to vote for him.
I’m surprised that I received two messages about a death tax even though I’m in the ACT and have zero affiliation with Queensland.
Sorry Kel, there is a substantial minority (which I do not belong to) that thinks that if you live in Canberra and are not dead yet you bloody well ought to be.
(just about) Everything that’s wrong with Canberra can be traced to those same people who happen to vote for the muppets they send us…
Wow, that speaks to his IQ. I was mightily annoyed at my 4 txts as I was lying in pain in hospital at the time, but at least I’m a Qld resident.
Deaths from coronavirus in Australia this year … 907
Australian victims of the radical international Islamic whatever this century …200? 300?
Which one is actually the problem?
Covid is the problem, the death toll is as low as it is because we’ve responded appropriately to it
Even in Sweden the rate of infection was low; the Ro being about 2.5. The upper bound for deaths (think in terms of a Logistic function) is about 2% of 40% of a confined population.
Empirically, (Sweden) the actual rate is about 1/10 of the theoretical and, comparatively, that (0.08 to 0.8) % is not a lot of deaths (about the same rate as dying in one’s sleep) and easily tolerated given the age of those at risk (70+).
In other words, the death rate is not uniform across age. Then quote deaths from cancer. E.B-m is correct.
Where the hell did you get 200-300 from? More Australians are killed via domestic violence, every year, than have been killed in the last 40 years as a result of Islamic Terrorism.
Speaking of references…?
Abso-bloody-lutely! And while we’re at it, we might as well stop worrying about deaths by shark attack, because more people get killed while climbing Mount Everest. And we shouldn’t worry about snake bites, either, because more people are killed by falling trees.
In fact, more people die of heart attack each year than die in motor accidents, so what’s the real problem there, I ask you? We should get rid of all these freedom-destroying speed limits immediately.
Bloody libtards and their CoVid lockdowns.
And while we’re at it, 90% of people who get flu shots never get the flu, which proves that flu shots are useless.
May I refer you to Ted Jenner’s (1798) paper for the immunization of cow and smallpox
I have yet to research your comparisons but years ago it was an actuarial exercise to assess injury or death by shark attack compared with an equivalent peril driving (or being a passenger) to the beach.
Don’t worry : be happy (while taking precautions and maintaining a wide berth from hysteria).
I agree, but you must remember it is not the electors en mass that changed. Yes I worked for a friend on the Sunshine Coast and he lost, but had a lovely few days talking to the sitting LNP member who was bemused by his Party’s choice of policy (A promised rebate on car registration when Clive Palmer has approximately 60 vehicles in his collection.) A genuine honest pleasant MP. Not to mention his wife who was intelligent, witty and lovely. All good people.
When it was all over I caught a snippet of Sky news where a Sydneyite LNP stooge was going on how the outcome was inappropriate and the gates of Hell (Read NSW Border) should be opened.
Queenslanders just love being told by upperty New South Welshmen who tell us that our democratic choice should be overridden.
Cant wait to the next State of Origin to stomp on a Cockroach!!!